SirBompan

@SirBompan

#187,56910

0xf0d4a0805927ddc3508702400f196bfe88eb9db5

~18d· 35 markets · 333 tradesVol: $18,1252026-08-05 17:25:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (12/34)2.6/20
0.38x (win $920 / loss $2,426)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9310/15
Sortino -7.7190/10
$-0.4380 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1146 (34 markets)6.8/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 512% of peak ($1,871 / $365)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+169
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
CRYPTO#98,449$97Vol: $9,540
💻 TECH#247,338$-74Vol: $6,764
💰 FINANCE#11,547$224Vol: $1,317
🏛️ POLITICS#1,500,019$-78Vol: $504

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$169
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,125
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
90B / 243S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$169
Vol: $18,125

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
12W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$169
Win Rate
35%
12W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-128

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $605 (3.5801657785671996% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$333
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$140
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$132
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$128
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$26
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?$23
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 4?$8

Top Losers

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-895
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-538
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-394
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$-305
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$-40
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.398
Sortino
-0.411
HHI
1424
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.375
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
77.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.6%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 11:57:25 PM12 trades$1,1457 min
7/24/2026, 4:51:25 PM6 trades$1,1390 min
6/17/2026, 5:58:22 PM10 trades$8320 min
6/19/2026, 8:21:13 PM15 trades$7601 min
6/17/2026, 9:44:43 PM42 trades$57210 min
6/5/2026, 3:56:43 PM4 trades$5701 min
6/18/2026, 6:23:13 AM17 trades$5628 min
7/24/2026, 1:59:04 PM6 trades$5122 min
6/17/2026, 9:03:11 PM13 trades$5033 min
7/16/2026, 12:29:22 PM6 trades$3670 min
6/6/2026, 3:18:00 PM8 trades$3571 min
7/24/2026, 2:06:34 PM2 trades$3180 min
6/5/2026, 6:05:09 PM7 trades$2813 min
6/14/2026, 10:05:57 AM11 trades$2740 min
6/17/2026, 9:15:35 PM23 trades$2558 min
7/21/2026, 11:37:04 AM6 trades$2430 min
6/4/2026, 5:56:24 AM2 trades$2190 min
7/1/2026, 12:26:55 AM4 trades$1960 min
7/22/2026, 11:25:31 AM5 trades$1520 min
6/14/2026, 2:31:22 PM2 trades$1480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-06
06-14
06-18
06-20
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.6 / M30 / H44.4