@SirSamukIII

#3,014,11175

0x4230b19c2ef7f58ed5c48bc880f5ce00d6e8152e

~50d· 402 markets · 1852 tradesVol: $172,6912026-08-04 18:59:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (238/402)14.6/20
1.52x (win $5,107 / loss $3,356)9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.42715/15
Sortino 3.67710/10
$+0.0266 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 390 (402 markets)10/10
37/49 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($1,248 / $2,828)5.2/10

Badges

4
Whale
$65,807 invested
Consistent
37/49 profitable days
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#298,023$-1,217Vol: $125,462
CRYPTO#1,610,595$-784Vol: $25,016
💰 FINANCE#633,968$-106Vol: $9,014
SPORTS#1,771,901$-319Vol: $7,194
🏛️ POLITICS#1,533,276$-116Vol: $4,540
🎭 CULTURE#505,612$-1Vol: $33

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,543
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$172,691
Total Redeem
$964
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
402
total markets
Trades
821B / 1031S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,543
Vol: $172,691

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
238W / 164L events
Realized PnL
$-2,543
Win Rate
59%
238W / 164L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,878 (0.7384828964030928% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1,024
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$473
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?$381
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 30?$165
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?$139
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$74
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?$68

Top Losers

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$-1,097
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$-536
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$-317
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$-201
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$-198
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5$-93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 24?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?$-51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.126
Sortino
0.105
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.5
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 278s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency4.7 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)61.6%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 1:18:27 PM4 trades$10,0003 min
4/28/2026, 8:29:16 PM10 trades$3,9642 min
6/7/2026, 8:56:33 PM6 trades$3,0201 min
5/3/2026, 9:24:32 PM15 trades$2,9825 min
4/30/2026, 9:42:52 PM14 trades$2,8183 min
4/29/2026, 9:29:24 PM7 trades$2,4502 min
4/25/2026, 9:33:18 PM10 trades$2,4374 min
4/26/2026, 8:41:42 PM26 trades$2,1657 min
5/2/2026, 2:59:10 PM36 trades$1,9899 min
6/12/2026, 8:25:54 PM29 trades$1,96527 min
4/25/2026, 12:04:38 AM3 trades$1,8582 min
5/4/2026, 6:55:50 PM14 trades$1,4083 min
5/8/2026, 10:47:40 PM4 trades$1,3370 min
4/27/2026, 6:29:28 PM2 trades$1,3310 min
5/3/2026, 2:44:18 PM18 trades$1,3192 min
5/16/2026, 3:42:01 PM9 trades$1,3010 min
5/8/2026, 1:28:49 PM4 trades$1,2870 min
5/8/2026, 7:26:28 PM3 trades$1,1990 min
6/17/2026, 8:20:32 PM4 trades$1,1554 min
5/2/2026, 1:26:58 PM10 trades$1,1353 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-27
05-05
05-13
05-30
06-09
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
64% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.1 / M12.3 / H61.6