@SmallPuddles
#2,914,197220xcbb3e3521b201345ac6f2fdc741c22c692eed024
~19d· 75 markets · 144 tradesVol: $6,2492026-08-04 17:17:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (32/62)10.8/20
0.24x (win $461 / loss $1,953)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1310/15
Sortino -8.2720/10
$-0.6704 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 880 (62 markets)8.1/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,539 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,909$-731Vol: $4,441
📈 ECONOMICS#641,551$-36Vol: $937
💰 FINANCE#625,406$-69Vol: $455
🎭 CULTURE#708,884$-15Vol: $77
₿ CRYPTO#1,322,788$-30Vol: $72
📢 MENTIONS#16,879$14Vol: $24
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-904
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,249
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
104B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-904
Vol: $6,249
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
32W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-904
Win Rate
52%
32W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-65
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $176 (0.19425359841570136% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$106
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$25
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$20
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?$17
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$15
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$14
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-720
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-140
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-120
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$-110
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?$-70
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$-60
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-60
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-60
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.464
Sortino
-0.405
HHI
983
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.545
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.3%
Top-5 markets
47%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.65
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.9%
High (>55c)58.7%
Sessions
#124/4/2026, 12:32:21 AM17 trades$4747 min
4/7/2026, 9:09:45 PM8 trades$3070 min
4/1/2026, 9:16:19 PM13 trades$2051 min
3/13/2026, 6:30:27 PM5 trades$1904 min
3/14/2026, 6:41:11 PM8 trades$1809 min
3/20/2026, 7:28:43 PM4 trades$1705 min
3/13/2026, 6:09:57 PM10 trades$16115 min
3/20/2026, 4:22:49 PM11 trades$16010 min
3/28/2026, 2:31:17 AM8 trades$1309 min
4/2/2026, 8:04:11 PM4 trades$1181 min
3/18/2026, 11:32:53 PM4 trades$1058 min
4/1/2026, 9:22:29 PM5 trades$961 min
7/28/2026, 8:54:01 PM6 trades$934 min
4/21/2026, 12:26:42 AM3 trades$840 min
3/27/2026, 7:52:43 PM5 trades$792 min
3/16/2026, 5:46:19 PM3 trades$728 min
3/12/2026, 7:21:33 PM4 trades$704 min
4/1/2026, 8:23:25 PM3 trades$620 min
4/8/2026, 9:02:09 PM2 trades$600 min
3/16/2026, 4:34:03 PM1 trades$500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-14
03-17
03-20
03-28
03-31
04-02
04-07
04-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.4 / M26.9 / H58.7