@SoftMango

#2,920,5910

0xa043c1be807b50640a25fdef01ca788abb3a3e9e

~16d· 23 markets · 156 tradesVol: $34,2822026-08-04 17:35:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (6/20)0/20
0.31x (win $300 / loss $966)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7210/15
Sortino -8.1990/10
$-0.0630 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2635 (20 markets)0/10
3/12 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($778 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#646,578$-323Vol: $29,974
🏛️ POLITICS#1,493,100$-71Vol: $2,080
💻 TECH#249,932$-110Vol: $954
🎭 CULTURE#802,494$-359Vol: $845
⚽ SPORTS#1,695,222$-116Vol: $328
📈 ECONOMICS#32,682$16Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-963
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,282
Total Redeem
$1,263
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
126B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-963
Vol: $34,282

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
6W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-963
Win Rate
30%
6W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $263 (0.2731275703069829% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$192
Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?$43
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?$28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$19
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?$17
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1

Top Losers

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-359
Canucks vs. Blackhawks$-116
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-100
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$-80
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$-69
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$-59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$-51
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$-40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-26
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.437
Sortino
-0.443
HHI
2727
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.5%
Top-5 markets
89.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.1
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.9%
High (>55c)25.4%

Sessions

#12
3/5/2026, 5:58:57 PM4 trades$4,2763 min
4/27/2026, 3:50:56 PM8 trades$3,0080 min
3/7/2026, 7:13:21 AM12 trades$1,03113 min
7/28/2026, 6:46:31 PM10 trades$4990 min
4/23/2026, 1:27:36 PM8 trades$4720 min
3/11/2026, 8:08:29 PM1 trades$3050 min
3/13/2026, 1:11:15 PM5 trades$2072 min
3/13/2026, 1:03:57 PM2 trades$1800 min
3/3/2026, 6:07:53 PM2 trades$1721 min
3/3/2026, 4:19:47 PM1 trades$1710 min
4/20/2026, 12:20:54 AM2 trades$1500 min
3/7/2026, 2:19:15 AM1 trades$1260 min
3/1/2026, 4:48:41 PM2 trades$901 min
4/27/2026, 2:16:40 PM2 trades$801 min
3/5/2026, 5:09:11 PM1 trades$680 min
3/1/2026, 8:02:11 AM11 trades$6512 min
3/11/2026, 3:23:07 AM9 trades$650 min
3/11/2026, 8:18:41 PM1 trades$540 min
3/5/2026, 6:46:39 PM2 trades$431 min
3/3/2026, 5:19:57 PM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-01
03-04
03-07
03-11
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.1/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.7 / M7.9 / H25.4