Sonmerfield

@Sonmerfield

#1,048,40446

0x1adc76a91839dce9bf852bcee73a5df5429a0366

~18d· 97 markets · 268 tradesVol: $7852026-08-04 19:18:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (24/94)0/20
1.65x (win $1 / loss $1)10.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.99715/15
Sortino 7.24210/10
$+0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 213 (94 markets)10/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 135% of peak ($0 / $0)0/10

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#250,594$0Vol: $162
🏛️ POLITICS#682,181$-0Vol: $123
CRYPTO#741,375$-0Vol: $122
💰 FINANCE#304,013$0Vol: $119
🌤️ WEATHER#164,258$-0Vol: $101
📈 ECONOMICS#312,671$-0Vol: $76
SPORTS#693,952$-0Vol: $45
💻 TECH#127,132$0Vol: $24
📢 MENTIONS#65,096$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-0
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$785
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
109B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-0
Vol: $785

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
24W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-0
Win Rate
26%
24W / 69L
Profit Factor
1.65x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (1.65% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?$0
Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on April 30?$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 17?$0
Will "Ladies First" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$0
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17?$0

Top Losers

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$-0
Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?$-0
Will Grimsby Town win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?$-0
Was Kanye hacked?$-0
Will Eugenio Chacarra win the 2025 DPW Tour Omega European Masters?$-0
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?$-0
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0
Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in March?$-0
Will Ramush Haradinaj be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$-0
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.152
Sortino
0.376
HHI
236
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 5:43:41 PM18 trades$876 min
7/28/2026, 4:51:40 PM14 trades$829 min
3/30/2026, 5:55:08 AM13 trades$738 min
4/29/2026, 2:44:10 AM25 trades$699 min
3/15/2026, 10:48:37 AM8 trades$655 min
2/27/2026, 10:01:11 AM7 trades$624 min
3/8/2026, 11:45:55 AM9 trades$583 min
1/24/2026, 10:04:42 AM22 trades$5119 min
8/28/2025, 4:49:05 PM34 trades$5115 min
10/28/2025, 10:37:17 AM33 trades$4726 min
6/25/2026, 6:06:50 PM10 trades$431 min
4/29/2026, 2:32:28 AM12 trades$395 min
3/30/2026, 5:34:56 AM2 trades$240 min
11/17/2025, 3:39:19 PM16 trades$1814 min
1/24/2026, 8:07:34 AM5 trades$148 min
1/10/2026, 5:37:50 AM8 trades$1312 min
1/12/2025, 4:55:07 PM6 trades$62 min
1/5/2026, 4:33:45 PM5 trades$57 min
12/9/2025, 5:08:55 AM3 trades$52 min
12/9/2025, 5:19:59 AM7 trades$55 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
08-28
12-09
01-24
03-15
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100