Splunksy-Hive

@Splunksy-Hive

#69,54116

0xad5b037d10533e35ddc8ff2c00c864282adffadd

~20d· 43 markets · 450 tradesVol: $36,6372026-08-04 22:22:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (16/41)4.5/20
0.61x (win $2,441 / loss $4,024)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8190/15
Sortino -5.4420/10
$-0.1760 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 608 (41 markets)9.5/10
7/18 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 326% of peak ($2,282 / $699)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,314
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#58,836$464Vol: $14,664
🏛️ POLITICS#40,542$240Vol: $10,116
🌤️ WEATHER#5,153$179Vol: $7,501
📢 MENTIONS#2,593$394Vol: $1,950
📈 ECONOMICS#31,238$17Vol: $1,372
🎭 CULTURE#57,789$14Vol: $268

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,314
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,637
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
264B / 186S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,314
Vol: $36,637

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
16W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1,314
Win Rate
40%
16W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$153
Avg Loss
$-183

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,457 (1.108738499471109% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$603
T20 Series England vs India: England vs India$580
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$273
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$197
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$177
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$141
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$138
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5$126
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?$68
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$33

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-846
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-800
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-518
Will New Zealand win?$-400
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-300
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-293
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-200
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-170
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-100
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.245
Sortino
-0.285
HHI
985
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.149
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
60%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 211s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)69.3%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 7:10:47 PM2 trades$1,3790 min
6/28/2026, 4:37:08 AM12 trades$9548 min
7/7/2026, 1:34:44 PM6 trades$6885 min
6/20/2026, 7:47:53 PM2 trades$5041 min
6/26/2026, 7:05:44 AM4 trades$4693 min
7/7/2026, 3:35:43 AM5 trades$4633 min
6/16/2026, 11:02:59 PM4 trades$4130 min
6/23/2026, 7:16:34 AM2 trades$4080 min
6/19/2026, 10:53:20 PM9 trades$4043 min
6/17/2026, 4:30:44 PM1 trades$3970 min
6/17/2026, 5:34:08 PM8 trades$3505 min
6/18/2026, 7:34:29 PM11 trades$3135 min
6/26/2026, 5:32:40 AM5 trades$3004 min
6/17/2026, 5:55:55 AM11 trades$2765 min
6/17/2026, 12:30:28 PM10 trades$2671 min
7/4/2026, 6:16:14 PM12 trades$26414 min
6/19/2026, 7:35:40 PM9 trades$2610 min
6/23/2026, 10:10:19 PM11 trades$2600 min
6/18/2026, 8:08:08 PM2 trades$2550 min
6/17/2026, 6:19:17 PM5 trades$2340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-19
06-23
06-27
07-02
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M14.8 / H69.3