@Stray1

#1,897,72512

0x2b35ce9020df3b583288b9da067048159e2d8ad5

~13d· 32 markets · 48 tradesVol: $10,6612026-08-04 23:02:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (14/29)9.1/20
0.59x (win $16 / loss $27)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1510/15
Sortino -3.4470/10
$-0.0021 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2540 (29 markets)0/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 481% of peak ($17 / $4)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#341,539$3Vol: $5,149
⚽ SPORTS#1,180,438$-4Vol: $5,092
📈 ECONOMICS#461,503$-1Vol: $187
💰 FINANCE#75,737$5Vol: $165
🌤️ WEATHER#254,884$-15Vol: $21
🏛️ POLITICS#993,885$-2Vol: $14
📢 MENTIONS#35,876$2Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,661
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
33B / 15S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-12
Vol: $10,661

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
14W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
48%
14W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11 (0.966130397967824% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?$6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$1
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$1
Solana above $140 on August 23?$1
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?$1
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0
Doge ETF approved in 2024?$0

Top Losers

Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$-15
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?$-2
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$-2
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$-1
Solana above $160 on August 9?$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?$-1
Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Tennis?$-1
Leicester City wins the Premier League?$-1
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$-1
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
2373
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
45.8%
Half-Kelly
22.9%
Top-1 market
41.8%
Top-5 markets
87.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
24s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.38
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)75.8%

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 12:58:26 PM4 trades$2,2192 min
2/15/2026, 3:16:45 PM2 trades$2,2010 min
12/19/2024, 5:22:20 PM4 trades$2,1501 min
1/5/2025, 7:12:07 AM5 trades$2,1321 min
8/7/2024, 2:42:00 PM4 trades$9171 min
8/3/2024, 1:43:25 PM4 trades$3391 min
7/26/2026, 11:38:30 AM8 trades$1081 min
10/17/2024, 9:19:38 AM5 trades$991 min
8/21/2024, 8:23:25 PM3 trades$451 min
7/8/2025, 11:12:23 AM4 trades$242 min
3/31/2025, 12:18:01 PM2 trades$240 min
10/14/2025, 12:48:41 PM2 trades$131 min
9/16/2024, 8:59:46 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
08-21
10-17
01-05
07-08
02-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.2 / M6.1 / H75.8