@StummElio
630xc046d1f4644943ec23b87d863c04aafe1610d8f0
~50d· 220 markets · 1985 trades2026-08-05 00:40:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (119/220)12/20
1.30x (win $21,619 / loss $16,666)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.93715/15
Sortino 4.27510/10
$+0.0922 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 326 (220 markets)10/10
25/49 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 89% of peak ($4,426 / $4,953)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,325
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$53,748 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,325
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,748
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
220
total markets
Trades
1165B / 820S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
119W / 101L events
Realized PnL
$1,325
Win Rate
54%
119W / 101L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$182
Avg Loss
$-183
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,950 (5.244798309497755% of PnL)
Top Winners
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$2,906
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5$2,821
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5$1,222
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$1,134
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$1,030
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5$942
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$771
CA Bucaramanga vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 2.5$520
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5$486
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5$468
Top Losers
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5$-1,228
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-801
England leading at halftime?$-678
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-671
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$-655
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-623
Belgium leading at halftime?$-598
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-589
Spurs vs. Knicks$-504
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$-491
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.203
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
14.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
51.1m
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.8
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule30 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)58.4%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 8:22:10 PM6 trades$15,0001 min
6/25/2026, 2:21:47 AM25 trades$5,9001 min
7/7/2026, 8:02:05 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/27/2026, 10:35:11 PM32 trades$3,1954 min
6/21/2026, 5:54:26 PM32 trades$2,7273 min
6/17/2026, 5:32:25 AM48 trades$2,5326 min
6/15/2026, 4:41:15 AM36 trades$2,17421 min
7/11/2026, 11:46:35 PM7 trades$1,9730 min
6/21/2026, 11:34:02 PM13 trades$1,9492 min
7/29/2026, 1:02:31 AM21 trades$1,7132 min
6/16/2026, 8:22:25 PM22 trades$1,5374 min
6/27/2026, 3:20:55 AM21 trades$1,4386 min
6/27/2026, 4:58:28 AM19 trades$1,3881 min
6/23/2026, 1:07:31 AM15 trades$1,2745 min
7/11/2026, 10:16:56 PM19 trades$1,2661 min
6/21/2026, 1:48:34 AM16 trades$1,2597 min
6/14/2026, 3:14:07 AM22 trades$1,25817 min
7/17/2026, 2:28:09 AM25 trades$1,1684 min
7/29/2026, 11:31:08 PM26 trades$1,1335 min
7/12/2026, 3:39:50 AM11 trades$1,1065 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-12
06-20
06-28
07-11
07-26
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.3 / M27.3 / H58.4