@Supernova38

#159,93827

0x64e83d30d7097b30474f34843cef1024d89bb506

~7d· 82 markets · 348 tradesVol: $106,1542026-08-04 21:25:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (6/22)0/20
1.91x (win $725 / loss $380)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0852 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 7104 (22 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($109 / $358)7.9/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+278
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#43,785$206Vol: $47,837
🎭 CULTURE#750,858$-37Vol: $33,351
⚽ SPORTS#71,817$307Vol: $9,334
₿ CRYPTO#1,463,221$-97Vol: $5,593
🌤️ WEATHER#11,524$40Vol: $3,606
💰 FINANCE#623,651$-63Vol: $2,879
📈 ECONOMICS#36,849$13Vol: $1,322
💻 TECH#19,473$8Vol: $1,315

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,154
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
142B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$-51
Vol: $7,183
Week
$-43
Vol: $34,665
Month
$-278
Vol: $66,291
All Time
$244
Vol: $106,154

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
6W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$278
Win Rate
27%
6W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$121
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $667 (2.3961356126993247% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$276
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$248
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$143
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$31
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov$15
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas$12

Top Losers

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-200
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-60
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-01?$-30
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01?$-29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$-10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$-10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-7
Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Andreozzi/Guinard$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.385
Sortino
1.933
HHI
693
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
45.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.8m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 334s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity14 trades/day — very active3.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.3%
High (>55c)22.5%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 12:44:00 PM2 trades$15,0000 min
8/1/2026, 1:53:47 AM5 trades$9,8510 min
8/1/2026, 4:51:06 AM3 trades$6,0000 min
7/31/2026, 7:32:48 PM8 trades$4,8263 min
8/2/2026, 11:38:50 AM2 trades$3,5000 min
7/31/2026, 4:33:09 PM18 trades$1,9461 min
8/2/2026, 12:18:48 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/29/2026, 6:34:23 PM21 trades$9582 min
8/3/2026, 1:35:11 AM2 trades$7860 min
7/10/2026, 8:29:08 AM6 trades$6981 min
7/31/2026, 4:42:23 PM26 trades$6723 min
7/10/2026, 9:09:43 PM2 trades$6160 min
7/10/2026, 2:46:58 AM4 trades$5413 min
7/29/2026, 1:57:53 PM6 trades$5090 min
8/1/2026, 4:30:57 AM14 trades$3171 min
8/1/2026, 2:28:42 AM21 trades$31116 min
7/31/2026, 4:01:38 AM7 trades$3106 min
7/31/2026, 5:24:36 AM2 trades$2500 min
7/30/2026, 9:47:59 AM15 trades$2189 min
8/1/2026, 4:37:51 AM4 trades$1801 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-10
07-29
07-30
07-31
08-01
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.2 / M30.3 / H22.5