SwingXBT

@SwingXBT

#19,30276

0xa0a18aa3594b95281268c05e8e3ce894fb0631e3

~26d· 33 markets · 192 tradesVol: $134,9012026-08-04 20:21:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (15/32)8.4/20
3.61x (win $13,141 / loss $3,642)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.36515/15
Sortino 14.00710/10
$+0.2149 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1495 (32 markets)5/10
10/19 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($3,376 / $9,498)6.9/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+7,078
DCA Master
Avg 8.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#11,175$4,052Vol: $72,968
CRYPTO#53,397$308Vol: $49,186
💰 FINANCE#2,023$2,423Vol: $11,347
📈 ECONOMICS#6,547$295Vol: $1,400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,078
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,901
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
157B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-299
Vol: $0
Week
$-120
Vol: $0
Month
$-315
Vol: $671
All Time
$7,078
Vol: $134,901

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
15W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$7,078
Win Rate
47%
15W / 17L
Profit Factor
3.61x
Avg Win
$876
Avg Loss
$-243

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,626 (1.0774080065555705% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,067
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,268
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$1,291
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,077
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$960
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$750
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$591
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$590
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$500
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?$370

Top Losers

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?$-2,953
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-200
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-150
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?$-130
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-106
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-55
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
0.457
HHI
3149
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.157
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.2%
Top-5 markets
105.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 559s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)34.4%
High (>55c)54.1%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 2:34:01 AM7 trades$4,5890 min
7/19/2026, 9:58:34 PM8 trades$4,4340 min
7/22/2026, 8:58:22 AM1 trades$4,2500 min
7/11/2026, 4:37:41 AM5 trades$4,1380 min
7/30/2026, 12:10:32 PM4 trades$3,7344 min
7/11/2026, 5:47:01 PM1 trades$3,5600 min
6/5/2026, 5:21:33 PM2 trades$2,9390 min
7/27/2026, 4:24:12 PM7 trades$2,2490 min
7/10/2026, 9:00:38 PM12 trades$1,65226 min
7/9/2026, 5:48:31 PM2 trades$1,6350 min
7/10/2026, 7:20:08 PM2 trades$1,6181 min
7/10/2026, 5:59:49 PM1 trades$1,4400 min
7/10/2026, 5:36:23 PM5 trades$1,2510 min
7/30/2026, 6:42:32 PM1 trades$1,1050 min
7/29/2026, 8:55:24 PM1 trades$1,0990 min
7/11/2026, 12:12:55 AM1 trades$1,0500 min
6/19/2026, 5:26:50 AM3 trades$1,0060 min
7/11/2026, 7:48:20 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/10/2026, 6:59:00 PM2 trades$9990 min
6/7/2026, 7:11:19 AM1 trades$8630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-09
06-21
06-27
07-10
07-19
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.5 / M34.4 / H54.1