@TRUTHbar

#2,088,38314

0xfa2c50cd1caee8acf9d1f61fb8dd4742361995f1

~14d· 26 markets · 41 tradesVol: $13,1682026-08-06 07:07:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (10/21)8.8/20
0.64x (win $85 / loss $133)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3560/15
Sortino -6.6840/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2711 (21 markets)0/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 5573% of peak ($49 / $1)0/10

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,429,867$-34Vol: $12,093
SPORTS#274,022$11Vol: $1,065
🎭 CULTURE#120,223$2Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,168
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
27B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $5,031
Month
$-1
Vol: $5,031
All Time
$-20
Vol: $13,168

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
10W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
48%
10W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66 (3.240612648221344% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$30
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?$29
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$7
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?$1
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1

Top Losers

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$-25
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-20
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$-20
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-16
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-12
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?$-10
Will Barcelona win La Liga?$-9
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$-3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.316
Sortino
-0.477
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
3.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
15s
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.33
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 8:17:53 AM12 trades$5,0441 min
7/20/2026, 3:14:45 PM2 trades$4,5360 min
1/29/2026, 8:12:00 AM2 trades$1,2300 min
1/27/2026, 5:28:03 PM1 trades$1,2250 min
8/5/2024, 7:48:37 PM3 trades$1950 min
11/23/2024, 9:05:11 AM3 trades$1420 min
11/16/2024, 10:27:13 AM1 trades$1400 min
6/4/2026, 1:53:45 PM6 trades$301 min
1/8/2025, 1:28:23 AM1 trades$200 min
10/3/2025, 1:07:25 PM3 trades$140 min
6/29/2025, 4:51:27 AM4 trades$130 min
8/13/2024, 1:22:15 PM1 trades$130 min
2/14/2025, 7:54:06 PM1 trades$100 min
9/11/2024, 5:05:43 PM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-05
08-13
09-11
11-23
01-08
02-14
06-29
10-03
01-29
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 512 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.5 / M14.8 / H66.7