Tanxuan-poker

@Tanxuan-poker

#2,740,39657

0xe196c85512f6999f24fdbcc8e13d8f67c38cb2b8

~57d· 1683 markets · 10168 tradesVol: $188,2342026-08-05 17:24:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (683/1656)5.6/20
1.27x (win $5,351 / loss $4,229)5.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.19215/15
Sortino 9.20810/10
$+0.1066 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 74 (1656 markets)10/10
23/53 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($836 / $1,349)1.6/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#283,524$-87Vol: $65,439
₿ CRYPTO#149,979$33Vol: $53,177
🎭 CULTURE#778,086$-85Vol: $39,328
💰 FINANCE#621,580$-56Vol: $10,585
⚽ SPORTS#365,697$3Vol: $8,000
🏛️ POLITICS#1,428,684$-33Vol: $3,735
💻 TECH#229,347$-11Vol: $2,426
📢 MENTIONS#14,102$21Vol: $443
📈 ECONOMICS#585,743$-7Vol: $433

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-234
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$188,234
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1683
total markets
Trades
7629B / 2539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-234
Vol: $188,234

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
683W / 973L events
Realized PnL
$-234
Win Rate
41%
683W / 973L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,192 (5.082220990234125% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?$589
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$400
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$203
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?$173
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?$150
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?$127
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?$110
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?$101
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?$100
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?$92

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?$-58
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 10?$-46
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 12?$-33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?$-27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 5?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.166
Sortino
0.428
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
128.7
Very active
Markets / Day
21.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.3m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock129 trades/day — automation21 markets/day — mass coverage75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)33.1%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 6:08:16 AM248 trades$3,50759 min
6/5/2026, 6:14:19 PM280 trades$3,06152 min
5/12/2026, 12:24:24 PM364 trades$1,60836 min
6/5/2026, 1:33:18 PM77 trades$1,51915 min
6/3/2026, 8:28:00 PM88 trades$1,07328 min
6/5/2026, 8:08:58 PM33 trades$1,03020 min
6/6/2026, 1:03:13 AM4 trades$1,0121 min
6/4/2026, 2:01:45 AM3 trades$1,0103 min
6/5/2026, 3:54:04 AM2 trades$1,0100 min
6/5/2026, 4:22:39 AM33 trades$84520 min
6/7/2026, 10:53:36 AM22 trades$7258 min
6/7/2026, 10:23:22 AM38 trades$61311 min
6/6/2026, 4:11:28 AM37 trades$57320 min
6/4/2026, 2:29:46 AM51 trades$56315 min
6/5/2026, 7:11:43 PM45 trades$52916 min
6/5/2026, 1:00:10 PM16 trades$5053 min
6/23/2026, 4:34:01 AM63 trades$3539 min
6/5/2026, 12:50:21 PM11 trades$3351 min
6/7/2026, 4:57:43 PM38 trades$31318 min
5/14/2026, 8:52:48 AM14 trades$29813 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-05
05-13
06-07
06-24
07-02
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.1 / M14.8 / H33.1