@Tarnished.

#2,651,94166

0xddfcfad46d29f473346e05921492004c8451cd9e

~48d· 409 markets · 1269 tradesVol: $87,6982026-08-04 19:06:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (250/408)15.6/20
1.36x (win $6,212 / loss $4,570)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.18715/15
Sortino 5.91710/10
$+0.1998 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3462 (408 markets)0/10
21/46 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($937 / $2,043)4.8/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#81,857$233Vol: $84,377
📈 ECONOMICS#625,113$-19Vol: $82

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-150
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$87,698
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
409
total markets
Trades
715B / 554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-279
Vol: $1,033
Week
$-116
Vol: $2,754
Month
$222
Vol: $3,723
All Time
$-150
Vol: $87,698

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
250W / 158L events
Realized PnL
$-150
Win Rate
61%
250W / 158L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,279 (8.553942880074912% of PnL)

Top Winners

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5$486
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$419
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants$373
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$361
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?$259
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$244
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$208
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$189
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?$154
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$141

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-350
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$-200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-160
Will Londrina EC win on 2026-07-13?$-158
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)$-120
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)$-120
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5$-120
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)$-120
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5$-120
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$-120

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.252
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.198
Kelly %
11.6%
Half-Kelly
5.8%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.5
Active
Markets / Day
6.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency6.6 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)47.7%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 12:13:37 AM43 trades$35,9485 min
6/25/2026, 1:26:02 AM2 trades$4,0800 min
6/27/2026, 12:48:17 AM12 trades$3,1511 min
6/24/2026, 10:10:44 PM3 trades$1,1320 min
6/27/2026, 1:01:46 AM16 trades$9244 min
7/20/2026, 6:32:18 PM3 trades$8330 min
6/24/2026, 11:44:23 PM14 trades$8231 min
6/25/2026, 9:38:31 PM4 trades$8090 min
6/24/2026, 7:34:10 PM13 trades$5163 min
7/13/2026, 11:50:46 PM22 trades$3711 min
6/24/2026, 10:39:25 PM8 trades$3705 min
6/25/2026, 9:59:29 PM5 trades$3612 min
7/27/2026, 2:26:04 PM4 trades$3390 min
6/25/2026, 1:35:40 AM8 trades$3325 min
6/28/2026, 9:07:49 PM2 trades$2940 min
6/19/2026, 4:33:31 PM14 trades$2891 min
6/20/2026, 2:05:44 PM41 trades$2552 min
7/22/2026, 11:48:51 PM6 trades$2373 min
6/24/2026, 2:02:49 AM14 trades$2311 min
6/17/2026, 6:22:01 PM11 trades$2223 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-13
06-20
06-27
07-09
07-17
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M47.7 / H45.5