@Tebesius

#2,847,86910

0x6430e217de383e5e26090cd0ec9391f313f8f4db

~19d· 31 markets · 98 tradesVol: $8,3652026-08-04 21:10:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (8/25)1/20
0.36x (win $365 / loss $1,027)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.5360/15
Sortino -12.9650/10
$-0.5314 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 620 (25 markets)9.4/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($662 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,904$-292Vol: $6,902
💰 FINANCE#637,542$-136Vol: $770
📈 ECONOMICS#639,350$-32Vol: $268

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-497
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,365
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
79B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $291
Month
$-40
Vol: $1,144
All Time
$-497
Vol: $8,365

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
8W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-497
Win Rate
32%
8W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (0.4494973864093285% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$126
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$49
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$49
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$47
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$17
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$13

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-160
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-103
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$-78
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 2?$-70
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-70
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-62
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$-50
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.825
Sortino
-1.490
HHI
653
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.465
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
39.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 430s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.28
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.7%
High (>55c)12.7%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 3:28:09 PM6 trades$4701 min
2/28/2026, 9:32:29 AM1 trades$2000 min
2/28/2026, 9:59:13 AM2 trades$1401 min
5/23/2026, 5:07:32 PM8 trades$1252 min
3/11/2026, 9:58:27 PM2 trades$1122 min
3/2/2026, 10:38:31 AM2 trades$1035 min
3/24/2026, 2:38:07 PM1 trades$1020 min
3/8/2026, 5:08:25 PM3 trades$904 min
2/28/2026, 1:26:29 PM2 trades$753 min
3/6/2026, 6:06:35 PM2 trades$753 min
2/27/2026, 5:32:57 PM1 trades$740 min
2/28/2026, 1:38:45 PM2 trades$701 min
7/24/2026, 12:11:19 PM5 trades$700 min
4/29/2026, 9:42:02 PM2 trades$600 min
3/1/2026, 4:36:55 PM1 trades$500 min
3/2/2026, 8:16:53 AM1 trades$500 min
2/19/2026, 8:23:34 PM2 trades$492 min
3/1/2026, 4:12:03 PM1 trades$480 min
2/28/2026, 9:47:55 AM3 trades$473 min
3/9/2026, 6:31:55 AM1 trades$390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
02-28
03-01
03-02
03-06
03-08
03-09
03-11
03-24
04-29
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.6 / M17.7 / H12.7