@TheAugur
#13,798700xdc8d49e3317dab913726f10c75a6dff742c784bc
~275d· 481 markets · 5606 tradesVol: $2,660,5652026-08-04 19:45:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
84% (377/447)20/20
1.21x (win $116,389 / loss $96,160)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.79314.9/15
Sortino 0.9149.1/10
$+0.0119 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 119 (447 markets)10/10
145/178 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 245% of peak ($49,513 / $20,229)0/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+10,717
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,701,298 invested
Consistent
145/178 profitable days
High Roller
$2,278/day
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#10,759$2,263Vol: $1,678,602
📈 ECONOMICS#496$13,354Vol: $478,734
🎭 CULTURE#2,177$3,242Vol: $272,258
⚽ SPORTS#17,601$2,469Vol: $68,656
💻 TECH#259,187$-16,290Vol: $66,683
💰 FINANCE#2,013$2,441Vol: $40,782
📢 MENTIONS#870$1,619Vol: $40,056
🌤️ WEATHER#39,764$3Vol: $96
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10,717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,660,565
Total Redeem
$155,029
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
481
total markets
Trades
3988B / 1618S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~275d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$6
Vol: $434
Month
$16
Vol: $434
All Time
$10,717
Vol: $2,660,565
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
84%
377W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$10,717
Win Rate
84%
377W / 70L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$309
Avg Loss
$-1,374
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,520 (1.9146214817890448% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$8,623
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$6,452
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5,444
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$5,193
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$4,673
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$4,162
US government shutdown Saturday?$4,123
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$4,091
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$3,730
House control after 2024 election?$2,678
Top Losers
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-17,725
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-14,408
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-9,468
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-8,222
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$-6,629
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-5,559
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-4,484
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?$-3,031
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-2,444
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$-2,443
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.023
HHI
107
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
2.1%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
15.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 3.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.98
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)71.4%
Sessions
#124/10/2026, 12:32:15 PM96 trades$67,7433 min
1/30/2026, 11:46:16 AM10 trades$51,5064 min
8/19/2024, 1:22:20 PM4 trades$33,0088 min
1/13/2026, 1:31:31 PM7 trades$32,4993 min
3/24/2026, 2:29:55 PM16 trades$27,2035 min
1/30/2026, 12:08:38 PM7 trades$21,95410 min
2/8/2026, 7:31:13 PM7 trades$21,9217 min
1/30/2026, 11:56:28 AM12 trades$19,9401 min
1/22/2026, 1:40:58 PM27 trades$19,76219 min
3/1/2026, 1:29:25 AM4 trades$19,2081 min
1/30/2026, 11:57:32 PM20 trades$18,3529 min
10/23/2025, 2:36:05 PM10 trades$17,3954 min
4/10/2026, 6:32:47 PM15 trades$16,7013 min
12/19/2025, 3:33:04 PM9 trades$15,09311 min
3/1/2026, 3:06:57 AM1 trades$14,9550 min
10/23/2025, 3:08:33 PM4 trades$14,4360 min
2/3/2026, 7:00:22 PM1 trades$14,1810 min
1/16/2026, 7:23:32 PM1 trades$13,4970 min
3/1/2026, 5:29:43 AM1 trades$13,4590 min
7/31/2024, 11:21:12 PM3 trades$13,2304 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-21
11-11
12-04
01-28
03-01
04-12
06-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 403 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M23.5 / H71.4