@TheBud
#123,699980xd4c7a880a646a24080256d0e8f984ee4a6289f6a
~144d· 179 markets · 495 tradesVol: $13,2672026-08-04 20:21:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (107/157)19.1/20
2.39x (win $2,463 / loss $1,029)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.23215/15
Sortino 10.19810/10
$+0.1986 per $1 invested9.9/10
HHI 175 (157 markets)10/10
70/102 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($329 / $1,476)9.5/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+431
Consistent
70/102 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#35,666$304Vol: $11,954
🎭 CULTURE#22,592$87Vol: $531
⚽ SPORTS#157,003$56Vol: $420
📈 ECONOMICS#612,884$-14Vol: $210
🌤️ WEATHER#43,701$2Vol: $102
📢 MENTIONS#108,383$-4Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$431
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,267
Total Redeem
$501
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
179
total markets
Trades
414B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~144d
Periods
#2Today
$-29
Vol: $0
Week
$-33
Vol: $150
Month
$-100
Vol: $410
All Time
$431
Vol: $13,267
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
107W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$431
Win Rate
68%
107W / 50L
Profit Factor
2.39x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $899 (2.083619171224622% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$364
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$302
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$233
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$145
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$97
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$77
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$68
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$62
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$58
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$43
Top Losers
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$-224
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$-96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-60
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-52
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$-48
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-47
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$-44
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$-40
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$-35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-31
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.168
Sortino
0.349
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.226
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
13.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6322s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.6%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)66.4%
Sessions
#124/1/2026, 11:39:09 AM9 trades$2754 min
8/1/2026, 7:55:20 AM4 trades$2481 min
12/8/2025, 10:14:53 PM4 trades$2246 min
5/1/2026, 8:38:48 PM4 trades$2162 min
4/23/2026, 7:33:54 AM4 trades$1830 min
3/29/2026, 12:47:30 PM1 trades$1790 min
4/4/2026, 8:13:21 PM6 trades$1785 min
6/1/2026, 7:00:46 AM4 trades$1623 min
5/6/2026, 2:07:30 PM2 trades$1600 min
4/7/2026, 7:55:39 PM6 trades$1465 min
7/5/2026, 8:44:46 AM3 trades$1442 min
12/7/2025, 7:14:07 PM2 trades$1400 min
6/7/2026, 4:53:24 AM5 trades$1280 min
8/2/2026, 2:18:30 AM1 trades$1190 min
4/23/2026, 7:09:16 AM4 trades$1173 min
3/1/2026, 10:36:33 AM3 trades$1132 min
4/2/2026, 8:00:15 AM6 trades$1124 min
7/4/2026, 9:11:55 AM7 trades$1025 min
1/31/2026, 4:39:26 PM1 trades$980 min
7/3/2026, 9:42:28 AM1 trades$970 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-29
11-05
12-07
02-01
04-04
05-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.6 / M15 / H66.4