TheCatBurglar

@TheCatBurglar

#35,11056

0x4c520d6694a4cc5b7730652980103b81a5d3ff83

~170d· 580 markets · 3886 tradesVol: $684,225 @ThCatBurglar2026-08-04 18:09:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (381/576)18.1/20
1.11x (win $23,309 / loss $21,058)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4738.9/15
Sortino 0.6816.8/10
$+0.0168 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 165 (576 markets)10/10
85/139 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($8,399 / $10,506)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+3,194
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$133,879 invested
Consistent
85/139 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#6,892$620Vol: $320,002
SPORTS#24,350$1,799Vol: $300,985
CRYPTO#67,116$191Vol: $37,049
🏛️ POLITICS#68,746$87Vol: $11,936
💰 FINANCE#8,090$398Vol: $9,023
📢 MENTIONS#165,229$-113Vol: $652
💻 TECH#53,390$1Vol: $100
🌤️ WEATHER#61,061$1Vol: $97

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,323
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$684,225
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
580
total markets
Trades
2742B / 1144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d

Periods

#2
Today
$134
Vol: $1,757
Week
$136
Vol: $1,757
Month
$136
Vol: $1,757
All Time
$3,323
Vol: $684,225

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
381W / 195L events
Realized PnL
$3,194
Win Rate
66%
381W / 195L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-110

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,480 (2.342100484071966% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?$4,882
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1,331
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1,267
Eagles vs. Packers$1,000
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3?$953
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?$939
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2?$864
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 4?$542
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$482
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$427

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-6,085
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-1,742
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$-1,385
Will Wisconsin advance to the Sweet Sixteen?$-1,300
Will Illinois advance to the Sweet Sixteen?$-763
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4?$-696
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?$-555
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?$-548
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-504
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-444

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.024
HHI
128
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.1m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)48%

Sessions

#12
3/16/2026, 8:28:17 PM7 trades$7,83515 min
4/5/2026, 1:29:53 AM21 trades$4,45316 min
2/27/2026, 3:50:43 PM3 trades$2,9866 min
1/19/2026, 2:21:26 AM5 trades$2,0303 min
2/13/2026, 9:55:19 PM4 trades$1,8855 min
2/27/2026, 2:47:27 PM10 trades$1,7369 min
1/18/2026, 1:02:08 AM17 trades$1,6659 min
1/17/2026, 11:53:34 PM1 trades$1,5970 min
2/26/2026, 10:17:30 PM2 trades$1,5630 min
2/16/2026, 4:04:35 AM7 trades$1,5279 min
3/11/2026, 12:06:13 PM5 trades$1,48110 min
3/22/2026, 1:56:09 AM2 trades$1,3920 min
2/26/2026, 8:25:06 PM1 trades$1,3620 min
4/4/2026, 10:45:15 PM12 trades$1,3230 min
3/19/2026, 7:49:31 PM3 trades$1,3004 min
3/8/2026, 6:00:47 PM1 trades$1,2930 min
3/20/2026, 6:27:45 PM3 trades$1,2854 min
11/15/2025, 8:34:16 PM3 trades$1,2351 min
1/20/2026, 3:58:18 AM13 trades$1,2307 min
2/22/2026, 11:48:54 AM8 trades$1,2166 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-11
11-01
11-25
12-26
01-29
03-05
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.1 / M25.9 / H48