@TheCornflakemerchant

#3,067,0247

0xa10b8c4f154fbbf1fda28563edf458914f798ec6

~47d· 67 markets · 1393 tradesVol: $1,112,9202026-08-04 15:18:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (9/60)0/20
0.14x (win $11,217 / loss $78,045)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0880/15
Sortino -6.7110/10
$-0.4222 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1054 (60 markets)7.2/10
6/32 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 3014% of peak ($69,568 / $2,308)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Whale
$158,290 invested

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,863,545$-2,938Vol: $705,722
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,539$-7,617Vol: $266,326
📈 ECONOMICS#682,709$-9,788Vol: $132,413
🎭 CULTURE#805,304$-400Vol: $4,112
🌤️ WEATHER#281,055$-72Vol: $2,532
💰 FINANCE#642,019$-200Vol: $1,126
₿ CRYPTO#1,336,239$-33Vol: $417
📢 MENTIONS#169,061$-200Vol: $274

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21,249
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,112,920
Total Redeem
$551
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
353B / 1040S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$272
Vol: $0
Week
$208
Vol: $0
Month
$613
Vol: $0
All Time
$-21,249
Vol: $1,112,920

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
9W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-21,249
Win Rate
15%
9W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$1,246
Avg Loss
$-1,593

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,364 (0.39362722974248104% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,743
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,820
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1,800
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1,013
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,006
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$433
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$221
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$167

Top Losers

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-22,280
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-18,849
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,789
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-7,681
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,638
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-1,576
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-1,279
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$-1,256
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)$-1,000
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-989

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.365
Sortino
-0.340
HHI
1380
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.364
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.8%
Top-5 markets
74.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)42.2%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 5:51:06 PM180 trades$36,8427 min
6/15/2026, 1:00:52 PM43 trades$35,1332 min
6/15/2026, 4:21:15 AM20 trades$22,9332 min
5/6/2026, 9:00:50 AM12 trades$16,2260 min
6/15/2026, 6:37:39 AM21 trades$14,8291 min
6/10/2026, 2:33:33 PM37 trades$13,0293 min
4/27/2026, 8:56:24 PM7 trades$11,1974 min
4/27/2026, 9:13:36 PM8 trades$11,1400 min
4/28/2026, 7:18:00 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/11/2026, 12:19:43 PM8 trades$9,7250 min
5/5/2026, 3:06:20 PM2 trades$8,9630 min
4/29/2026, 8:48:06 AM18 trades$7,6680 min
6/8/2026, 11:46:24 AM16 trades$7,6203 min
4/26/2026, 7:59:00 PM10 trades$6,3760 min
4/20/2026, 9:46:00 PM10 trades$6,3736 min
6/12/2026, 4:20:39 PM39 trades$6,3530 min
6/8/2026, 1:02:06 PM16 trades$6,0670 min
6/30/2026, 3:52:43 AM29 trades$5,7000 min
4/20/2026, 10:57:34 PM18 trades$5,3090 min
5/13/2026, 11:46:58 AM13 trades$4,7372 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
04-24
05-03
05-11
05-19
06-15
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.4 / M22.4 / H42.2