TheCryptonite

@TheCryptonite

#2,762,5428

0xa0225ccf2036a679b5e546a278b69f5434a672c2

~25d· 45 markets · 377 tradesVol: $34,724 @CryptoniteClips2026-08-05 02:21:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (14/45)0.6/20
0.73x (win $1,842 / loss $2,530)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5600/15
Sortino -3.1870/10
$-0.1724 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 961 (45 markets)7.7/10
5/19 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 203% of peak ($1,359 / $670)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,717,595$-147Vol: $13,716
CRYPTO#97,546$98Vol: $2,755
🎭 CULTURE#69,664$9Vol: $121

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,724
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
139B / 238S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
15W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-269
Win Rate
33%
15W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$132
Avg Loss
$-101

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,462 (5.4369098074206255% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$621
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$468
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$373
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$132
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$23
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)$18

Top Losers

Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-555
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-447
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-396
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-237
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-220
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-151
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-106
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-92
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-84
Will G2 Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.130
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
1562
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.127
Kelly %
12.3%
Half-Kelly
6.2%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
75.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)39.6%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 12:42:03 PM16 trades$1,2842 min
7/15/2026, 8:55:28 AM30 trades$7473 min
6/10/2026, 9:25:27 AM19 trades$6726 min
7/18/2026, 9:21:39 AM6 trades$6640 min
6/10/2026, 1:26:00 PM24 trades$6315 min
6/11/2026, 6:23:07 AM19 trades$5625 min
7/16/2026, 12:30:29 PM24 trades$5543 min
7/17/2026, 6:53:25 AM9 trades$5370 min
6/10/2026, 12:03:15 PM15 trades$5207 min
6/10/2026, 12:52:10 PM13 trades$3450 min
6/15/2026, 7:24:19 AM11 trades$3320 min
7/16/2026, 4:11:53 PM7 trades$2730 min
6/15/2026, 2:23:10 PM14 trades$2671 min
7/17/2026, 3:15:48 PM7 trades$2551 min
6/10/2026, 9:00:52 AM9 trades$2431 min
6/26/2026, 11:53:29 AM4 trades$2270 min
3/13/2026, 4:23:31 PM1 trades$1920 min
7/10/2026, 10:34:29 AM2 trades$1790 min
3/21/2026, 4:19:13 PM4 trades$1645 min
7/1/2026, 7:57:20 AM6 trades$1620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-21
06-10
06-15
06-25
07-14
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.76/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.6 / M20.9 / H39.6