@ThePredictionMinute
#119,791810x58c0b3cb1c4f154421319ce4629014a4791be64f
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (259/556)8.3/20
2.10x (win $2,606 / loss $1,239)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.15315/15
Sortino 16.90010/10
$+0.2865 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 156 (556 markets)10/10
54/130 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($168 / $1,486)10/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+466
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#7,838$517Vol: $90,263
₿ CRYPTO#166,102$26Vol: $4,649
⚽ SPORTS#1,418,187$-15Vol: $4,619
🏛️ POLITICS#1,420,459$-30Vol: $4,477
📈 ECONOMICS#614,920$-14Vol: $1,250
🌤️ WEATHER#258,904$-18Vol: $1,225
💰 FINANCE#133,267$1Vol: $131
Overview
#1Net PnL
$466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,683
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
560
total markets
Trades
1143B / 893S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$466
Vol: $106,683
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
259W / 297L events
Realized PnL
$466
Win Rate
47%
259W / 297L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,144 (2.455093546172331% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$507
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$481
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$156
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$112
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?$101
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$80
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$73
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$71
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$49
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-57
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$-36
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-28
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-26
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
0.820
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.284
Kelly %
20.7%
Half-Kelly
10.3%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
11.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 502s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51.8%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)23%
Sessions
#123/31/2026, 3:19:17 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/14/2026, 7:45:30 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/6/2026, 7:04:10 AM13 trades$4574 min
6/2/2026, 7:42:27 PM6 trades$4041 min
5/4/2026, 8:50:22 AM4 trades$2000 min
6/11/2026, 4:23:12 AM4 trades$1503 min
5/6/2026, 3:02:35 PM4 trades$1403 min
5/11/2026, 8:54:15 AM6 trades$1340 min
5/2/2026, 11:22:52 PM5 trades$1332 min
5/29/2026, 1:33:20 PM7 trades$1220 min
6/4/2026, 10:14:57 PM4 trades$1201 min
5/1/2026, 3:27:44 PM5 trades$1155 min
4/3/2026, 8:11:07 AM2 trades$1110 min
7/17/2026, 6:51:43 AM3 trades$1010 min
4/27/2026, 12:16:56 AM2 trades$1000 min
4/27/2026, 3:58:50 PM2 trades$1000 min
5/5/2026, 10:23:04 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/11/2026, 8:28:28 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/15/2026, 5:56:42 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/21/2026, 3:59:22 PM2 trades$1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
02-22
03-15
04-05
05-07
06-06
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.77/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.8 / M25.2 / H23