@ThomasStreet

#2,893,0987

0xa1dfb14bc7ddcf6342fe6fb107ecfb7ad02d1d2f

~20d· 19 markets · 166 tradesVol: $21,1062026-08-04 15:18:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (5/18)0/20
0.61x (win $1,394 / loss $2,272)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2370/15
Sortino -3.9460/10
$-0.2126 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1707 (18 markets)4/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 357% of peak ($1,221 / $342)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
💻 TECH#256,112$-521Vol: $8,983
🎭 CULTURE#22,358$90Vol: $3,801
💰 FINANCE#581,595$-13Vol: $2,620
⚽ SPORTS#131,059$85Vol: $2,602
🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,903$-305Vol: $2,400
₿ CRYPTO#1,322,521$-30Vol: $376
🌤️ WEATHER#270,608$-35Vol: $324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-728
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,106
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
79B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $0
Month
$-29
Vol: $500
All Time
$-728
Vol: $21,106

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
5W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-728
Win Rate
28%
5W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$279
Avg Loss
$-175

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,307 (1.795934065934066% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$869
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$290
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$148
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$58
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$28

Top Losers

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-1,112
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-462
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-109
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$-106
Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-100
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-50
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.162
Sortino
-0.191
HHI
3373
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.9%
Top-5 markets
115.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 81s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)29.1%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 8:53:31 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/19/2026, 9:47:39 PM3 trades$9250 min
7/23/2026, 5:22:03 AM5 trades$6231 min
6/27/2026, 9:27:46 PM2 trades$5520 min
7/15/2026, 9:17:40 PM2 trades$5170 min
7/30/2026, 3:26:29 AM6 trades$4250 min
7/23/2026, 4:56:22 AM10 trades$4166 min
7/2/2026, 7:51:26 PM6 trades$3850 min
7/27/2026, 7:30:45 AM8 trades$3771 min
7/22/2026, 11:59:34 PM9 trades$3581 min
7/22/2026, 11:40:52 PM15 trades$3053 min
2/5/2026, 10:44:53 PM2 trades$2691 min
7/10/2026, 10:06:08 AM8 trades$2460 min
8/1/2026, 5:49:24 AM6 trades$2442 min
7/30/2026, 3:03:27 PM18 trades$2163 min
7/18/2026, 6:32:45 PM3 trades$2140 min
7/21/2026, 9:11:42 PM8 trades$1981 min
3/25/2026, 9:51:53 AM1 trades$1950 min
6/30/2026, 10:01:38 PM4 trades$1905 min
7/22/2026, 12:31:07 AM6 trades$1730 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-06
03-01
06-30
07-10
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38 / M32.9 / H29.1