TommyFShelby

@TommyFShelby

#108,28636

0x4aefa3f861aeaf08c42b4310ac6713ade4d822d9

~184d· 360 markets · 1971 tradesVol: $687,9972026-08-04 21:04:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (215/359)14.9/20
1.01x (win $70,697 / loss $70,327)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0430.8/15
Sortino 0.0560.6/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 55 (359 markets)10/10
98/171 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 589% of peak ($15,175 / $2,575)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+579
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$217,789 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,873,523$-5,942Vol: $268,963
CRYPTO#1,601,552$-644Vol: $6,217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$579
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$687,997
Total Redeem
$9,313
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
360
total markets
Trades
1600B / 371S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~184d

Periods

#2
Today
$-222
Vol: $3,510
Week
$164
Vol: $21,605
Month
$400
Vol: $29,315
All Time
$579
Vol: $687,997

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
215W / 144L events
Realized PnL
$579
Win Rate
60%
215W / 144L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$329
Avg Loss
$-492

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,943 (10.271687090585408% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$2,800
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,584
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$1,559
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?$1,308
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$1,294
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,264
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1,244
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$1,170
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$1,128
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$1,030

Top Losers

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-4,999
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-3,253
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-2,808
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?$-2,372
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-1,584
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$-1,359
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$-1,320
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-1,230
Knicks vs. Spurs$-1,130
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?$-1,109

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
0.002
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
6.8%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)69.6%

Sessions

#12
11/1/2025, 6:56:11 AM1 trades$4,9990 min
2/22/2026, 5:56:40 AM1 trades$2,1750 min
11/1/2025, 11:48:01 PM1 trades$2,0080 min
2/22/2026, 11:58:02 AM1 trades$1,8690 min
11/9/2025, 9:08:29 AM1 trades$1,8130 min
4/12/2026, 2:26:29 PM3 trades$1,7760 min
4/7/2026, 8:36:35 PM3 trades$1,7280 min
3/7/2026, 1:10:59 PM8 trades$1,7287 min
11/9/2025, 9:39:17 AM1 trades$1,6800 min
11/9/2025, 5:31:59 AM8 trades$1,6802 min
3/1/2026, 7:03:31 AM24 trades$1,6201 min
2/15/2026, 8:28:07 AM8 trades$1,5661 min
11/8/2025, 7:28:51 PM7 trades$1,5381 min
5/7/2026, 4:07:01 PM7 trades$1,5004 min
4/11/2026, 3:08:59 PM2 trades$1,4680 min
6/18/2026, 5:28:11 PM3 trades$1,3681 min
5/9/2026, 4:39:16 AM31 trades$1,33920 min
5/15/2026, 12:42:22 PM2 trades$1,2900 min
2/26/2026, 11:00:34 AM1 trades$1,2780 min
11/5/2025, 2:20:29 PM2 trades$1,2691 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
09-23
12-08
03-05
05-09
06-19
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 201 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M30.1 / H69.6