@Tonymcy
#3,050,375180xbbf38991e9fd4f4d3d3e6031ae507b75419e6af8
~22d· 33 markets · 72 tradesVol: $86,8442026-08-05 02:44:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (13/33)4.7/20
0.16x (win $1,250 / loss $7,679)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7720/15
Sortino -4.6450/10
$-0.1607 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1151 (33 markets)6.7/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 185706% of peak ($6,500 / $4)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,230$-4,992Vol: $65,003
⚽ SPORTS#1,799,902$-522Vol: $18,725
₿ CRYPTO#1,618,235$-997Vol: $3,116
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,511
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,844
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
35B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
13W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-6,511
Win Rate
39%
13W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$96
Avg Loss
$-512
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $851 (0.13070817283176978% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$386
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$235
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$230
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$114
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$108
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$82
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$37
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$24
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$20
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$6
Top Losers
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-6,048
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-1,001
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-200
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain?$-50
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?$-50
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?$-40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?$-40
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?$-40
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?$-40
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.243
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
1100
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.160
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
69.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)42.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)45.7%
Sessions
#122/24/2026, 6:52:36 AM2 trades$11,6352 min
2/18/2026, 3:08:24 AM2 trades$10,3942 min
2/26/2026, 2:34:54 AM1 trades$6,0480 min
2/26/2026, 3:11:12 AM1 trades$6,0480 min
2/22/2026, 5:17:02 AM1 trades$5,5820 min
2/22/2026, 5:09:12 AM1 trades$5,5820 min
2/13/2026, 3:53:49 AM2 trades$4,1751 min
2/11/2026, 6:42:37 AM2 trades$4,1011 min
2/16/2026, 3:54:45 AM1 trades$2,9950 min
2/10/2026, 6:10:01 PM1 trades$2,0440 min
2/8/2026, 8:37:13 AM1 trades$2,0200 min
2/7/2026, 8:00:45 AM1 trades$2,0000 min
2/5/2026, 2:37:27 PM1 trades$1,9960 min
6/26/2026, 11:53:08 PM5 trades$1,3150 min
1/29/2026, 4:01:48 PM1 trades$1,0010 min
6/27/2026, 3:29:35 PM14 trades$9212 min
7/2/2026, 5:15:38 AM8 trades$8651 min
6/27/2026, 5:06:11 PM4 trades$3541 min
7/8/2026, 5:29:37 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/8/2026, 12:21:28 PM2 trades$3070 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
02-07
02-13
02-24
06-27
07-04
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 234 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.9 / M11.4 / H45.7