@ToyodaMan

#3,031,88535

0x9d4aea6f0609c6a77070c573d78679ba4d136cb1

~309d· 603 markets · 6365 tradesVol: $881,5962026-08-04 16:20:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (378/583)17.4/20
0.79x (win $24,381 / loss $30,850)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3110/15
Sortino -1.5880/10
$-0.0182 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 97 (583 markets)10/10
116/195 profitable days (59%)7.4/10
Max DD 262% of peak ($10,463 / $3,995)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 65%
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$354,720 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#815,827$-5,037Vol: $406,843
💰 FINANCE#3,789$1,165Vol: $161,992
🏛️ POLITICS#105,319$36Vol: $125,317
💻 TECH#1,004$1,583Vol: $93,007
🌤️ WEATHER#294,068$-362Vol: $47,905
⚽ SPORTS#1,790,111$-454Vol: $19,683
📈 ECONOMICS#9,112$171Vol: $12,462
₿ CRYPTO#90,939$105Vol: $4,934
📢 MENTIONS#3,324$278Vol: $4,117

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,687
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$881,596
Total Redeem
$175
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
603
total markets
Trades
3811B / 2554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~309d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $204
Week
$13
Vol: $370
Month
$-23
Vol: $390
All Time
$-3,687
Vol: $881,596

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
378W / 205L events
Realized PnL
$-3,687
Win Rate
65%
378W / 205L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-154

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,102 (1.1125478316758919% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,419
Will Dispatch win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1,350
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1,334
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1,296
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,201
Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?$887
OpenAI browser by October 31?$873
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$825
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$442
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?$440

Top Losers

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$-1,579
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$-1,315
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-1,296
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?$-1,265
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$-1,256
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-1,056
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$-1,035
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$-878
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$-804
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$-797

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.060
HHI
78
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 242s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)68%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 12:26:31 AM5 trades$9,6519 min
11/18/2025, 2:54:45 PM29 trades$8,12018 min
1/3/2026, 6:13:17 PM16 trades$7,57321 min
11/18/2025, 4:13:53 PM4 trades$6,5142 min
1/4/2026, 3:37:29 PM2 trades$5,2651 min
11/18/2025, 4:21:41 PM1 trades$4,8940 min
2/20/2026, 2:14:50 PM6 trades$4,6288 min
12/3/2025, 2:23:15 AM2 trades$4,3940 min
11/13/2025, 7:39:40 AM5 trades$4,2742 min
8/15/2025, 11:14:44 AM6 trades$4,26011 min
11/13/2025, 11:33:46 AM7 trades$4,12414 min
11/5/2025, 2:10:31 AM6 trades$4,07412 min
11/10/2025, 1:02:11 AM6 trades$3,9849 min
11/13/2025, 4:43:08 AM6 trades$3,9555 min
1/25/2026, 2:51:08 AM9 trades$3,91614 min
12/17/2025, 4:06:28 PM7 trades$3,6632 min
6/30/2026, 8:38:08 AM3 trades$3,6003 min
12/5/2025, 3:17:13 AM10 trades$3,58215 min
11/17/2025, 9:10:37 PM5 trades$3,5814 min
6/18/2026, 3:03:59 PM37 trades$3,48312 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-18
08-23
10-20
11-24
01-02
03-05
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 210 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M22.4 / H68