@Trenchstar
#54,844790xfe9e332a78809a730f78a241e2c383cc51a16944
~67d· 75 markets · 874 tradesVol: $86,3372026-08-05 17:28:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (34/69)9.6/20
1.98x (win $18,865 / loss $9,533)14.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.40615/15
Sortino 10.58310/10
$+0.2761 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1452 (69 markets)5.2/10
21/40 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($2,237 / $9,332)9.2/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+1,878
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.7 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#15,475$1,262Vol: $62,976
₿ CRYPTO#1,495,179$-121Vol: $14,349
⚽ SPORTS#40,945$890Vol: $4,895
🎭 CULTURE#758,987$-45Vol: $2,730
📈 ECONOMICS#650,582$-56Vol: $993
💰 FINANCE#620,578$-53Vol: $394
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,878
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,337
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
203B / 671S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d
Periods
#2Today
$-146
Vol: $4,808
Week
$-906
Vol: $11,926
Month
$-1,139
Vol: $13,306
All Time
$1,878
Vol: $86,337
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
30W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$1,878
Win Rate
45%
30W / 36L
Profit Factor
1.98x
Avg Win
$555
Avg Loss
$-289
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,847 (6.30985960501928% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$6,998
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$3,321
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$1,528
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$1,015
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$985
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$915
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$586
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$445
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$302
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$299
Top Losers
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-1,996
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?$-1,060
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$-691
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-635
Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?$-515
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-484
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$-457
Spurs vs. Knicks$-405
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?$-399
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-390
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.487
HHI
1156
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.281
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.4%
Top-5 markets
56.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 999s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)44.8%
High (>55c)46.8%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 4:27:03 PM2 trades$11,1110 min
8/5/2026, 4:57:03 PM3 trades$5,7360 min
5/14/2026, 2:24:52 PM21 trades$5,3762 min
5/14/2026, 10:28:39 AM28 trades$5,0232 min
5/11/2026, 6:13:01 PM11 trades$3,8710 min
8/2/2026, 7:43:59 AM13 trades$2,7009 min
7/31/2026, 9:52:27 PM3 trades$2,2860 min
5/11/2026, 5:39:57 PM13 trades$1,9460 min
4/25/2026, 7:22:18 PM39 trades$1,7877 min
7/2/2026, 6:09:59 PM17 trades$1,7713 min
5/11/2026, 5:12:25 PM18 trades$1,7712 min
5/11/2026, 5:58:37 PM9 trades$1,7280 min
6/2/2026, 2:33:17 PM2 trades$1,6670 min
6/2/2026, 3:41:04 PM2 trades$1,5710 min
4/30/2026, 5:19:58 PM15 trades$1,3815 min
5/1/2026, 9:55:04 AM19 trades$1,3702 min
7/7/2026, 7:36:11 PM2 trades$1,1130 min
7/1/2026, 8:52:25 AM22 trades$1,0050 min
8/3/2026, 6:28:14 AM21 trades$8491 min
5/10/2026, 4:44:36 PM10 trades$7523 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
05-10
06-01
06-14
06-26
07-10
08-02
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M44.8 / H46.8