@TruthseekerR

#12,95253

0xfd460e28ffe7d34bb1315e9be48b3b8fdd5d4c7d

~31d· 48 markets · 802 tradesVol: $271,5992026-08-04 22:58:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (11/37)0/20
1.60x (win $37,289 / loss $23,247)10.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.20615/15
Sortino 4.57910/10
$+0.3129 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1496 (37 markets)5/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($17,960 / $27,156)0.8/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+11,465
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#3,484$11,103Vol: $215,288
SPORTS#89,108$194Vol: $29,285
💰 FINANCE#604,404$-27Vol: $11,349
🎭 CULTURE#22,903$85Vol: $8,525
📈 ECONOMICS#6,540$296Vol: $6,608
💻 TECH#247,747$-82Vol: $275
🌤️ WEATHER#285,461$-103Vol: $269

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,465
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$271,599
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
307B / 495S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-84
Vol: $0
Week
$-94
Vol: $1,709
Month
$-72
Vol: $1,709
All Time
$11,465
Vol: $271,599

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
11W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$11,465
Win Rate
30%
11W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.6x
Avg Win
$3,390
Avg Loss
$-1,162

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,034 (2.9684069049006236% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$21,711
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$6,878
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5,444
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$1,398
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$862
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$540
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$136
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$121
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$106
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-11,463
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-5,098
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-1,722
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-995
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$-972
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-622
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-540
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$-364
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-265
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$-246

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.113
Sortino
0.200
HHI
3428
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.203
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.3%
Top-5 markets
106.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 2.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 3:21:42 AM29 trades$18,1050 min
4/24/2026, 12:52:58 PM87 trades$12,75815 min
6/10/2026, 3:45:39 PM10 trades$11,0740 min
6/10/2026, 12:09:24 PM16 trades$9,5290 min
4/19/2026, 12:24:56 PM14 trades$7,8199 min
4/25/2026, 1:46:10 PM58 trades$6,2571 min
6/13/2026, 6:00:09 AM22 trades$6,0540 min
7/5/2026, 2:43:47 PM70 trades$5,55219 min
6/18/2026, 5:13:11 PM9 trades$5,3880 min
7/1/2026, 7:28:13 PM12 trades$3,4800 min
4/19/2026, 11:51:46 AM12 trades$3,4689 min
7/8/2026, 5:34:50 PM7 trades$2,7770 min
6/30/2026, 8:28:26 PM4 trades$2,0012 min
4/24/2026, 1:18:24 PM18 trades$1,9514 min
4/21/2026, 9:25:20 PM18 trades$1,8651 min
4/19/2026, 11:40:56 AM14 trades$1,5282 min
4/25/2026, 4:48:22 PM17 trades$1,1910 min
6/10/2026, 2:39:07 PM9 trades$1,0547 min
7/9/2026, 8:49:23 AM9 trades$1,0536 min
7/7/2026, 4:11:07 PM6 trades$1,0380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
04-26
06-30
07-07
07-10
07-15
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.3 / M26.4 / H43.3