@TwoSunCapital

#3,049,85722

0xe2315b15280fc49bc6e60eaaeea30c0df64493a5

~27d· 208 markets · 1804 tradesVol: $3,336,5622026-08-05 17:23:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (101/206)9.5/20
0.48x (win $12,911 / loss $26,705)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5900/15
Sortino -6.3880/10
$-0.1157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 245 (206 markets)10/10
11/27 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 1111% of peak ($15,159 / $1,364)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 10.8 entries/market
Whale
$119,259 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,871,704$-4,720Vol: $413,095
📈 ECONOMICS#680,250$-1,350Vol: $5,000
CRYPTO#902,009$-2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,079
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,336,562
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
208
total markets
Trades
1692B / 112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
101W / 105L events
Realized PnL
$-6,079
Win Rate
49%
101W / 105L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$128
Avg Loss
$-267

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,772 (0.4559737046444599% of PnL)

Top Winners

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$1,275
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres$825
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$672
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva$657
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves$637
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds$627
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$596
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$596
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$565
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$462

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-5,389
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev$-1,843
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,809
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros$-998
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-867
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-840
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-825
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers$-810
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-721
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins$-660

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.339
Sortino
-0.294
HHI
279
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
23.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.5m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 157s — normal for humanCV 2.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)60.9%
High (>55c)30%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 1:28:47 PM17 trades$6,4023 min
7/29/2026, 4:17:57 PM7 trades$4,9951 min
6/5/2026, 11:31:52 AM3 trades$4,4330 min
6/5/2026, 10:45:12 AM1 trades$3,7000 min
7/7/2026, 4:58:43 AM7 trades$3,6740 min
6/5/2026, 10:23:36 PM30 trades$3,4248 min
6/5/2026, 1:02:45 PM8 trades$3,1438 min
7/7/2026, 4:44:13 PM10 trades$2,67315 min
6/4/2026, 7:10:54 AM5 trades$2,4878 min
6/5/2026, 6:47:36 PM8 trades$2,4693 min
6/5/2026, 2:39:39 PM12 trades$2,2453 min
6/5/2026, 3:15:19 PM42 trades$1,88066 min
6/3/2026, 10:00:13 PM2 trades$1,8600 min
6/5/2026, 5:21:33 PM9 trades$1,72416 min
6/5/2026, 6:11:13 PM5 trades$1,65611 min
6/14/2026, 12:13:43 AM37 trades$1,61118 min
6/5/2026, 11:40:13 PM6 trades$1,5855 min
6/4/2026, 3:12:33 AM14 trades$1,50713 min
6/25/2026, 8:21:01 PM48 trades$1,4180 min
6/3/2026, 9:30:52 PM5 trades$1,3628 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
06-04
06-09
06-13
06-24
07-09
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.1 / M60.9 / H30