@UFCFan

#2,882,78923

0x59fb4758b6a4282e744664bdf4aaeed0b70becea

~125d· 245 markets · 1077 tradesVol: $120,105 @forearmsss2026-08-04 18:54:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (117/243)9.1/20
0.84x (win $7,583 / loss $8,976)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2570/15
Sortino -1.9680/10
$-0.0533 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 182 (243 markets)10/10
44/98 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 16873% of peak ($3,214 / $19)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

8
📢 MENTIONS#1,214$1,058Vol: $29,245
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,842$-1,524Vol: $25,799
⚽ SPORTS#31,154$1,349Vol: $25,084
₿ CRYPTO#1,612,427$-825Vol: $16,685
💰 FINANCE#645,445$-282Vol: $15,955
🎭 CULTURE#793,148$-183Vol: $4,104
📈 ECONOMICS#12,557$99Vol: $2,400
💻 TECH#255,198$-370Vol: $715

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-659
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,105
Total Redeem
$610
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
245
total markets
Trades
792B / 285S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-659
Vol: $120,105

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
117W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$-659
Win Rate
48%
117W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,916 (2.9084863116658313% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$988
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?$581
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?$346
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$341
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$317
Will Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$310
Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?$258
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$199
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$192
Will Trump say "Oil" during Memphis Roundtable?$178

Top Losers

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$-628
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?$-612
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? $-372
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-367
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$-335
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-297
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-283
Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-278
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$-270
Will Trump say "Memphis" during the State of the Union address?$-265

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
169
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
21.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 748s — normal for humanCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)48.5%
High (>55c)23.1%

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 12:57:45 AM1 trades$1,3540 min
6/28/2026, 1:57:44 AM4 trades$1,1161 min
10/25/2025, 2:12:23 PM1 trades$1,0320 min
10/25/2025, 10:28:09 AM1 trades$8600 min
10/25/2025, 9:45:21 AM1 trades$7500 min
7/6/2026, 4:45:28 AM7 trades$6911 min
10/25/2025, 9:51:09 AM3 trades$6893 min
11/4/2025, 7:15:55 AM4 trades$6252 min
7/2/2026, 2:36:40 PM5 trades$5511 min
6/20/2026, 12:46:20 PM2 trades$5000 min
10/30/2025, 1:11:33 AM1 trades$4500 min
11/4/2025, 4:48:19 AM2 trades$3883 min
1/28/2026, 9:31:43 AM2 trades$3623 min
1/3/2026, 4:01:25 PM1 trades$3590 min
6/20/2026, 2:18:50 AM5 trades$3581 min
2/8/2026, 3:37:27 AM2 trades$3490 min
9/4/2025, 3:54:42 PM2 trades$3391 min
10/29/2025, 11:54:41 PM2 trades$3343 min
1/5/2026, 2:35:09 PM1 trades$3250 min
6/14/2026, 7:59:42 PM8 trades$3122 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
11-21
12-30
02-06
02-24
05-30
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 389 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.4 / M48.5 / H23.1