@VagabondSage

#2,820,9870

0x7bca1e2ad048f295b5ee1bd2aebf56004e9625e3

~19d· 19 markets · 121 tradesVol: $21,3402026-08-04 18:57:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (2/18)0/20
0.21x (win $226 / loss $1,084)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9880/15
Sortino -6.8140/10
$-0.5708 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3478 (18 markets)0/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 3956% of peak ($880 / $22)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,561,086$-280Vol: $20,652
SPORTS#1,624,367$-63Vol: $383
🏛️ POLITICS#1,476,511$-57Vol: $305

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-400
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,340
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
77B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-400
Vol: $21,340

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
2W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-400
Win Rate
11%
2W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-68

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $226 (0.5643198120516858% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$224
Will BNB dip to $600 in May?$2

Top Losers

Will Solana reach $90 in June?$-496
Will Solana reach $100 in June?$-251
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$-102
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?$-85
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-55
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$-12
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$-10
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$-10
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?$-10
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.345
Sortino
-0.339
HHI
1738
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.666
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.5%
Top-5 markets
73.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 429s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.4%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)31.2%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 3:00:17 AM23 trades$2,4100 min
5/29/2026, 1:20:03 AM6 trades$3120 min
6/17/2026, 2:25:46 AM1 trades$1750 min
6/23/2026, 5:32:07 AM8 trades$1631 min
4/7/2026, 3:31:55 AM6 trades$1392 min
6/16/2026, 2:36:59 PM1 trades$1370 min
6/22/2026, 5:25:43 AM6 trades$1353 min
6/4/2026, 2:04:37 AM2 trades$1320 min
4/4/2026, 9:42:07 AM4 trades$1201 min
5/20/2026, 7:51:38 AM1 trades$1030 min
6/24/2026, 3:30:53 AM2 trades$850 min
6/15/2026, 9:04:39 PM1 trades$810 min
6/17/2026, 6:55:38 AM5 trades$620 min
4/5/2026, 5:53:25 AM2 trades$600 min
5/6/2026, 9:55:46 AM2 trades$520 min
6/3/2026, 9:35:39 PM1 trades$500 min
4/5/2026, 12:02:03 PM2 trades$490 min
5/29/2026, 9:10:18 AM1 trades$450 min
6/17/2026, 5:24:47 AM5 trades$440 min
5/6/2026, 8:56:34 AM1 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-05
04-07
05-20
05-21
05-26
06-22
06-23
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.4 / M10.4 / H31.2