@Varil
#162,175410x611f56fb8b2852cd7865b6f1ff645ed8291dec74
~172d· 792 markets · 4538 tradesVol: $1,437,7652026-08-03 21:35:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
83% (657/787)20/20
0.90x (win $2,927 / loss $3,261)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2690/15
Sortino -0.2790/10
$-0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 100 (787 markets)10/10
121/131 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 519% of peak ($2,458 / $474)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+227
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Whale
$486,821 invested
Consistent
121/131 profitable days
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#300,507$-2,168Vol: $1,147,155
🎭 CULTURE#4,864$1,052Vol: $97,718
🏛️ POLITICS#32,712$355Vol: $66,736
📈 ECONOMICS#4,815$483Vol: $47,111
₿ CRYPTO#116,001$63Vol: $11,742
⚽ SPORTS#202,094$30Vol: $9,382
💰 FINANCE#25,191$53Vol: $7,257
💻 TECH#15,476$14Vol: $861
Overview
#1Net PnL
$236
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,437,765
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
792
total markets
Trades
3091B / 1447S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~172d
Periods
#2Today
$26
Vol: $27,438
Week
$26
Vol: $59,258
Month
$91
Vol: $98,883
All Time
$236
Vol: $1,437,765
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
83%
657W / 130L events
Realized PnL
$227
Win Rate
83%
657W / 130L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-155
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $877 (3.8583366319215373% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?$346
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on January 31?$289
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$242
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$162
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$114
Will ohnePixel vape on stream in 2025?$111
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$101
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$99
Will Biden finish his term?$68
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?$65
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50°F and 51°F on January 26?$-979
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on January 30?$-966
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48°F and 49°F on January 26?$-868
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on January 30?$-228
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?$-91
Will Biden pardon Fauci?$-45
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$-42
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?$-14
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 15-22?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.004
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
9.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 423s — normal for humanCV 2.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)99.2%
Sessions
#127/28/2026, 2:00:40 AM27 trades$7,0025 min
7/21/2026, 3:44:18 PM5 trades$5,5000 min
6/14/2026, 4:07:31 AM59 trades$5,3220 min
5/19/2026, 9:08:53 PM1 trades$5,0750 min
1/20/2025, 3:21:57 PM6 trades$4,7307 min
7/29/2026, 1:40:51 PM9 trades$4,70010 min
3/11/2026, 1:11:45 PM1 trades$4,6810 min
8/14/2025, 3:56:55 PM2 trades$4,3670 min
8/12/2025, 5:27:35 PM1 trades$4,3580 min
8/8/2025, 9:01:47 PM2 trades$4,3484 min
8/8/2025, 9:48:57 AM3 trades$4,3325 min
7/4/2025, 6:34:25 PM2 trades$4,2601 min
7/2/2025, 7:07:01 AM2 trades$4,2083 min
6/12/2025, 3:21:33 AM1 trades$4,1080 min
6/10/2025, 6:34:27 PM1 trades$4,1000 min
6/7/2025, 5:00:44 AM1 trades$4,0920 min
12/6/2025, 12:53:09 AM1 trades$4,0570 min
6/5/2025, 5:31:40 PM1 trades$4,0570 min
6/2/2025, 11:00:36 PM1 trades$4,0530 min
7/28/2026, 12:22:58 AM4 trades$4,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
12-15
02-01
12-06
06-12
07-04
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M0.2 / H99.2