@Varyag

#7,54492

0xd75d96a23515172778d3281f53c9180b985100c8

~729d· 1183 markets · 9230 tradesVol: $959,7542026-08-04 21:10:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (793/1178)18.7/20
2.26x (win $40,459 / loss $17,919)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.90315/15
Sortino 6.49210/10
$+0.0742 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 38 (1178 markets)10/10
362/494 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($2,975 / $23,733)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+20,896
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$303,641 invested
Consistent
362/494 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#85$19,645Vol: $734,152
🏛️ POLITICS#22,339$703Vol: $131,696
₿ CRYPTO#75,286$148Vol: $26,872
💰 FINANCE#567,592$-9Vol: $24,943
🎭 CULTURE#9,468$374Vol: $21,763
📈 ECONOMICS#19,938$42Vol: $4,014
💻 TECH#7,769$61Vol: $4,003

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,896
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$959,754
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1183
total markets
Trades
5954B / 3276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~729d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $349
Week
$-26
Vol: $488
Month
$28
Vol: $616
All Time
$20,896
Vol: $959,754

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
793W / 385L events
Realized PnL
$20,896
Win Rate
67%
793W / 385L
Profit Factor
2.26x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,598 (0.3636218765478182% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3,457
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?$2,182
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18?$1,960
2025 January hottest on record?$1,933
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 18?$1,660
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 21?$1,395
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?$1,289
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 16?$1,063
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?$884
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$875

Top Losers

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?$-1,927
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?$-1,385
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$-939
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?$-767
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 4?$-582
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?$-496
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?$-483
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 7?$-447
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-395
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 20?$-359

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.152
Sortino
0.186
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.074
Kelly %
3.7%
Half-Kelly
1.8%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 626s — normal for humanCV 3.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)41.8%

Sessions

#12
12/8/2025, 5:55:41 AM4 trades$4,9705 min
11/23/2025, 3:54:07 PM1 trades$3,9960 min
1/7/2026, 7:51:01 PM6 trades$3,3295 min
11/19/2025, 5:50:43 PM3 trades$3,0343 min
11/30/2025, 3:31:06 PM2 trades$2,7710 min
2/21/2026, 9:06:24 PM4 trades$2,73710 min
12/17/2025, 9:54:55 PM4 trades$2,4802 min
1/27/2026, 3:54:35 PM5 trades$2,3821 min
2/13/2026, 6:52:35 PM2 trades$2,3660 min
5/24/2025, 6:54:25 PM4 trades$2,3520 min
11/19/2025, 1:04:23 AM2 trades$2,3283 min
1/21/2025, 10:05:23 AM5 trades$2,1433 min
8/12/2025, 3:55:51 PM1 trades$2,0360 min
3/19/2026, 7:06:59 PM6 trades$2,0294 min
11/5/2025, 5:54:19 PM1 trades$1,9980 min
11/17/2025, 3:53:17 PM1 trades$1,9980 min
12/10/2025, 5:54:44 PM1 trades$1,9980 min
12/29/2025, 5:59:01 PM2 trades$1,9981 min
2/4/2026, 6:55:35 PM3 trades$1,9981 min
11/18/2025, 9:19:47 PM5 trades$1,9660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-07
07-25
03-05
06-28
09-29
01-12
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
52% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.4 / M17.9 / H41.8