@Vincent44230

#3,018,24729

0xc78bd4be80c847996f56ddb5834f0c2e4f382ca5

~113d· 236 markets · 1586 tradesVol: $308,4862026-08-06 07:24:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (129/232)12.8/20
0.45x (win $5,485 / loss $12,149)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5200/15
Sortino -3.5660/10
$-0.0807 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 138 (232 markets)10/10
54/98 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 2380% of peak ($7,677 / $323)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$82,581 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#815,443$-3,196Vol: $254,063
SPORTS#55,568$525Vol: $20,312
🏛️ POLITICS#44,058$204Vol: $18,482
CRYPTO#1,404,462$-56Vol: $8,229
💻 TECH#40,681$1Vol: $205
💰 FINANCE#409,475$-0Vol: $40
🌤️ WEATHER#66,109$1Vol: $6
📢 MENTIONS#95,785$-2Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,622
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$308,486
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
236
total markets
Trades
603B / 983S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

Periods

#2
Today
$47
Vol: $402
Week
$442
Vol: $12,905
Month
$436
Vol: $15,077
All Time
$-2,622
Vol: $308,486

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
129W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$-2,622
Win Rate
56%
129W / 103L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-137

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,101 (0.8014316659801992% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$895
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$851
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$356
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$332
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$246
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$227
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$220
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$187
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$159
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$147

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$-2,127
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-1,690
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$-1,503
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$-625
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-542
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-520
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$-431
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-400
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-396
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-395

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.183
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
140
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
15.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2528s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)40.3%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 4:39:08 PM13 trades$3,2581 min
4/26/2026, 12:35:56 PM39 trades$2,9990 min
4/27/2026, 7:18:20 PM43 trades$2,6551 min
4/27/2026, 1:47:50 PM37 trades$2,4642 min
4/24/2026, 11:26:40 AM2 trades$2,1450 min
4/4/2026, 4:25:45 AM23 trades$2,1030 min
4/3/2026, 7:48:33 PM33 trades$2,0861 min
2/24/2026, 3:39:52 PM2 trades$1,9750 min
2/25/2026, 1:12:58 PM3 trades$1,9542 min
2/24/2026, 8:25:46 PM2 trades$1,9532 min
4/27/2026, 3:22:40 PM32 trades$1,9111 min
2/27/2026, 3:57:01 PM2 trades$1,8881 min
4/10/2026, 5:46:21 AM23 trades$1,8866 min
2/26/2026, 11:14:26 PM2 trades$1,8741 min
2/26/2026, 4:39:06 AM2 trades$1,8501 min
2/25/2026, 3:51:26 PM2 trades$1,8350 min
2/23/2026, 9:36:32 AM2 trades$1,8332 min
3/6/2026, 7:52:35 AM2 trades$1,6973 min
4/28/2026, 9:22:04 PM28 trades$1,6920 min
2/20/2026, 9:03:18 PM2 trades$1,6911 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-15
03-04
03-24
04-27
06-28
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 113 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M32.8 / H40.3