@VincentPolymarket

#2,419,95216

0x5b067c1980dd6c88e4f594cb79e84a065b943dcb

~42d· 296 markets · 444 tradesVol: $2,5922026-08-05 16:39:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (153/267)13.7/20
0.67x (win $78 / loss $118)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5100/15
Sortino -6.0580/10
$-0.1026 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2738 (267 markets)0/10
16/40 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 731% of peak ($49 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,440,755$-18Vol: $767
₿ CRYPTO#1,199,237$-14Vol: $627
💰 FINANCE#583,910$-14Vol: $375
📈 ECONOMICS#546,955$-3Vol: $245
🏛️ POLITICS#998,067$-2Vol: $242
🎭 CULTURE#625,326$-4Vol: $155
🌤️ WEATHER#36,082$3Vol: $37
📢 MENTIONS#118,085$-6Vol: $37
💻 TECH#199,830$-2Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,592
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
347B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-62
Vol: $2,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
153W / 114L events
Realized PnL
$-62
Win Rate
57%
153W / 114L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13 (0.20671834625323% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$4
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?$2
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$2
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-6
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-6
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-5
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$-4
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-2
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-2
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.285
Sortino
-0.333
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.101
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.66
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)71.5%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 9:21:52 PM6 trades$5042 min
1/7/2026, 1:48:27 PM44 trades$4425 min
3/12/2026, 8:04:27 PM44 trades$4428 min
4/15/2026, 12:37:08 AM44 trades$4222 min
6/29/2026, 6:16:08 AM41 trades$2613 min
1/28/2026, 4:00:52 PM20 trades$2316 min
11/12/2024, 8:20:45 AM3 trades$162 min
3/22/2026, 6:29:25 PM16 trades$1611 min
12/7/2025, 9:08:43 PM13 trades$1312 min
3/8/2026, 8:04:47 PM13 trades$135 min
3/29/2026, 9:42:30 AM12 trades$127 min
6/30/2026, 7:55:25 AM14 trades$108 min
10/24/2024, 2:55:00 AM1 trades$100 min
7/28/2026, 12:15:55 PM12 trades$104 min
7/8/2025, 5:06:01 AM9 trades$96 min
7/12/2026, 10:19:31 PM8 trades$92 min
6/29/2026, 7:20:56 AM8 trades$82 min
5/25/2026, 8:43:01 PM8 trades$72 min
2/6/2026, 8:52:51 PM7 trades$74 min
11/7/2025, 12:40:45 AM5 trades$73 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
01-30
09-04
12-09
03-12
06-29
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 538 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11 / M17.6 / H71.5