@Vinceshen

#2,545,9189

0x7bd0496987767455dc8fce492a3fe5cc8117f9e7

~31d· 95 markets · 360 tradesVol: $28,1732026-08-04 21:50:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (39/95)5.5/20
0.79x (win $2,213 / loss $2,807)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4580/15
Sortino -4.3760/10
$-0.1191 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2102 (95 markets)2/10
10/28 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 738% of peak ($686 / $93)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,663,462$-89Vol: $28,120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,173
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
148B / 212S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
39W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-99
Win Rate
41%
39W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $380 (3.8233400402414492% of PnL)

Top Winners

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$134
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$125
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5$122
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$102
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5$98
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$83
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$79
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5$76
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$70
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$70

Top Losers

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-202
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$-129
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-120
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$-120
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-70
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$-64
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-64
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-63
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.285
HHI
169
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 0.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal2.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)36.5%
High (>55c)43.9%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 10:08:06 PM5 trades$3,9145 min
7/22/2026, 7:14:34 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/25/2026, 5:13:59 AM29 trades$6995 min
6/11/2026, 8:01:22 PM2 trades$6520 min
6/13/2026, 1:56:37 AM13 trades$6228 min
6/11/2026, 8:09:40 AM4 trades$5421 min
6/18/2026, 3:28:11 AM14 trades$5175 min
6/26/2026, 2:40:04 AM15 trades$4413 min
6/30/2026, 7:09:04 PM6 trades$4251 min
6/23/2026, 1:11:02 AM15 trades$4116 min
6/26/2026, 8:45:37 PM14 trades$4035 min
6/17/2026, 8:45:04 PM13 trades$3982 min
6/16/2026, 2:24:22 AM10 trades$3492 min
7/18/2026, 9:40:06 PM2 trades$2980 min
6/12/2026, 3:59:57 AM6 trades$2953 min
6/14/2026, 9:25:15 PM8 trades$2944 min
7/6/2026, 7:15:41 PM6 trades$2910 min
6/28/2026, 3:19:05 AM4 trades$2900 min
6/21/2026, 5:46:56 AM10 trades$2851 min
6/24/2026, 7:50:40 PM8 trades$2802 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-15
06-20
06-24
06-28
07-02
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M36.5 / H43.9