@Vollhorst

#2,806,39935

0xe3a64954a6c89f75ee73cefeccbdad7c642c8297

~86d· 400 markets · 1072 tradesVol: $70,4202026-08-05 15:51:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (143/226)16.6/20
0.90x (win $2,167 / loss $2,420)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7570/15
Sortino -0.8820/10
$-0.0111 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 284 (226 markets)10/10
32/54 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 388% of peak ($834 / $215)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,612,487$-931Vol: $36,119
💻 TECH#3,266$273Vol: $24,573
⚽ SPORTS#103,368$140Vol: $6,185
🎭 CULTURE#25,959$69Vol: $2,323
🌤️ WEATHER#7,332$94Vol: $1,220

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-354
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,420
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
400
total markets
Trades
724B / 348S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$15
Vol: $0
All Time
$-354
Vol: $70,420

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
143W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-354
Win Rate
63%
143W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $707 (1.9945523314892177% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$328
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$273
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$105
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$61
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?$56
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?$51
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$47
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?$42
Will SSC Napoli vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?$42
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?$40

Top Losers

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-287
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$-209
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-169
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-138
Nepal snap election called by September 30?$-138
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$-116
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-116
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-98
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-83
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.039
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.55
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)75.4%

Sessions

#12
9/19/2025, 11:52:38 AM4 trades$1,0053 min
4/26/2026, 7:55:36 AM165 trades$93521 min
11/16/2025, 7:35:43 PM3 trades$7104 min
10/16/2025, 5:25:33 AM3 trades$7042 min
9/9/2025, 3:43:42 PM3 trades$6971 min
9/12/2025, 9:30:15 PM4 trades$6632 min
10/13/2025, 5:27:33 PM1 trades$6470 min
11/16/2025, 3:37:19 PM2 trades$5941 min
8/18/2025, 4:57:12 AM2 trades$5920 min
8/18/2025, 5:03:54 AM2 trades$5923 min
9/30/2025, 7:19:17 AM2 trades$5812 min
9/22/2025, 3:43:58 AM2 trades$5401 min
10/6/2025, 11:08:05 AM2 trades$5353 min
8/27/2025, 10:29:51 AM5 trades$5225 min
11/22/2025, 6:56:09 AM3 trades$5224 min
7/4/2026, 4:57:44 PM57 trades$52027 min
9/26/2025, 10:05:40 AM1 trades$5080 min
10/19/2025, 11:41:33 AM2 trades$5043 min
10/13/2025, 6:33:25 PM2 trades$5004 min
9/30/2025, 6:13:03 AM2 trades$4982 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
10-06
10-27
11-17
11-26
12-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.4 / M15.2 / H75.4