@VortexInfernal

#137,17231

0xb7c114e3961cc19a40760cc58e414e69c6fa6f7a

~44d· 94 markets · 1014 tradesVol: $37,5572026-08-04 22:47:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (63/89)20/20
0.66x (win $1,403 / loss $2,115)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7820/15
Sortino -1.9150/10
$-0.0336 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2031 (89 markets)2.3/10
20/31 profitable days (65%)8.6/10
Max DD 164% of peak ($1,829 / $1,117)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+341
DCA Master
Avg 14.1 entries/market
Consistent
20/31 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#33,310$347Vol: $35,675
📈 ECONOMICS#575,807$-6Vol: $1,882

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,557
Total Redeem
$1,559
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
468B / 546S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$341
Vol: $37,557

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
63W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$341
Win Rate
71%
63W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-85

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $648 (1.9000381198135063% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$270
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$236
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$141
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$109
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$93
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$74
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$60
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$60
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$43
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$40

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,152
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-265
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-171
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-123
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$-94
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-64
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-52
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
5709
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
58.5%
Half-Kelly
29.2%
Top-1 market
67.8%
Top-5 markets
122.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 350s — normal for humanCV 3.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)64.5%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 1:26:22 PM55 trades$5,06220 min
4/27/2026, 8:32:54 AM39 trades$4,6450 min
4/18/2026, 7:32:22 PM33 trades$3,5022 min
4/20/2026, 10:34:44 PM29 trades$3,4350 min
4/25/2026, 3:49:46 PM4 trades$2,5852 min
4/18/2026, 9:00:42 AM29 trades$2,3870 min
5/18/2026, 4:23:28 AM27 trades$2,3502 min
4/16/2026, 6:37:58 PM23 trades$1,93512 min
4/21/2026, 5:53:48 AM37 trades$1,8313 min
4/3/2026, 3:21:19 PM8 trades$6915 min
4/29/2026, 2:15:24 PM6 trades$6404 min
4/18/2026, 9:29:44 PM2 trades$5970 min
4/22/2026, 11:30:32 AM27 trades$5701 min
4/29/2026, 1:22:18 PM8 trades$5491 min
4/29/2026, 5:49:16 AM2 trades$4980 min
4/28/2026, 2:42:40 PM11 trades$4252 min
4/16/2026, 6:06:46 PM7 trades$4183 min
4/3/2026, 10:39:47 PM4 trades$3562 min
5/8/2026, 8:57:11 PM4 trades$3271 min
4/7/2026, 10:07:21 PM14 trades$3174 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
03-30
04-04
04-09
04-17
04-27
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M21.8 / H64.5