@WINMALE
#2,342,56500x90817debc5c77bb6fc1e645b84b775d042134774
~12d· 26 markets · 148 tradesVol: $3,9892026-08-05 16:38:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
21% (3/14)0/20
0.66x (win $31 / loss $46)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4150/15
Sortino -4.0940/10
$-0.0381 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5182 (14 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 202% of peak ($31 / $15)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#188,267$8Vol: $3,198
📈 ECONOMICS#628,990$-20Vol: $378
💰 FINANCE#597,270$-20Vol: $200
₿ CRYPTO#1,096,747$-7Vol: $128
💻 TECH#223,966$-8Vol: $84
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-48
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,989
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
64B / 84S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$19
Vol: $0
Week
$23
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $0
All Time
$-48
Vol: $3,989
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
21%
3W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-48
Win Rate
21%
3W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31 (0.631144155307724% of PnL)
Top Winners
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$18
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3
Top Losers
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-11
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$-10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$-6
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-4
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?$-4
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$-2
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.167
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
107
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.165
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
18.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)56.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.3%
High (>55c)23.4%
Sessions
#127/22/2026, 10:29:45 AM22 trades$1,53310 min
7/22/2026, 11:01:12 AM12 trades$34412 min
7/27/2026, 2:03:31 AM2 trades$3000 min
7/21/2026, 2:54:31 AM6 trades$1522 min
7/23/2026, 9:17:16 AM9 trades$1321 min
7/21/2026, 9:42:49 AM3 trades$990 min
7/22/2026, 10:18:04 AM11 trades$924 min
7/22/2026, 10:48:52 AM7 trades$854 min
7/22/2026, 3:26:51 AM6 trades$832 min
7/27/2026, 6:30:52 AM9 trades$563 min
7/27/2026, 6:41:07 AM4 trades$414 min
7/23/2026, 9:32:10 AM2 trades$370 min
6/21/2026, 6:01:35 AM13 trades$368 min
7/8/2026, 1:38:46 AM2 trades$330 min
6/21/2026, 10:54:08 AM12 trades$2410 min
7/17/2026, 1:39:43 PM7 trades$211 min
7/22/2026, 6:16:57 AM4 trades$180 min
7/24/2026, 1:13:21 AM2 trades$150 min
7/19/2026, 10:12:21 AM4 trades$101 min
7/27/2026, 6:22:06 AM3 trades$81 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-27
07-02
07-19
07-21
07-22
07-23
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.2 / M20.3 / H23.4