@WeatherMasterv3

#2,914,14827

0x79ad3e890dc870bf48d9bbf3f226a77746db4eed

~45d· 118 markets · 2209 tradesVol: $316,4392026-08-04 17:21:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (75/118)16.8/20
0.78x (win $3,645 / loss $4,701)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3930/15
Sortino -1.5910/10
$-0.0168 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3956 (118 markets)0/10
23/33 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 344% of peak ($1,913 / $557)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 18.9 entries/market
Whale
$62,852 invested
Consistent
23/33 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#294,162$-372Vol: $228,720
CRYPTO#1,575,471$-370Vol: $71,425
SPORTS#143,620$69Vol: $1,221
📈 ECONOMICS#565,910$-5Vol: $14
🎭 CULTURE#558,533$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-904
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$316,439
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
1160B / 1049S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$365
Vol: $796
Week
$530
Vol: $18,601
Month
$625
Vol: $24,763
All Time
$-904
Vol: $316,439

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
75W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-904
Win Rate
64%
75W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-118

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,285 (1.42169341449917% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?$812
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?$241
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?$232
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?$229
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$168
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$147
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?$120
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?$116
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?$97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?$95

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?$-1,425
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,351
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$-1,077
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$-218
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$-170
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?$-106
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?$-69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
26.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.1m
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)75.8%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 2:20:52 AM4 trades$31,9361 min
6/3/2026, 2:58:24 AM2 trades$28,5240 min
7/28/2026, 2:43:39 AM48 trades$5,14910 min
6/15/2026, 1:21:57 AM28 trades$3,70816 min
6/17/2026, 11:09:32 PM13 trades$3,3806 min
6/3/2026, 1:35:43 AM2 trades$3,2570 min
6/17/2026, 1:03:20 AM13 trades$2,6586 min
6/16/2026, 1:13:43 AM14 trades$2,62010 min
7/29/2026, 12:44:15 PM6 trades$2,5570 min
7/27/2026, 5:09:36 PM108 trades$2,43315 min
6/3/2026, 1:26:16 AM2 trades$2,4260 min
6/13/2026, 4:50:49 AM1 trades$2,1630 min
7/19/2026, 7:40:55 PM78 trades$1,9917 min
6/22/2026, 6:45:38 PM27 trades$1,9630 min
6/3/2026, 1:42:43 AM2 trades$1,8140 min
8/3/2026, 2:39:21 AM24 trades$1,7906 min
6/14/2026, 1:03:27 AM6 trades$1,6821 min
7/20/2026, 2:50:12 AM10 trades$1,5614 min
6/13/2026, 1:08:25 AM43 trades$1,45220 min
6/22/2026, 7:00:38 PM5 trades$1,3530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
06-08
06-13
06-18
06-29
07-16
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M10.1 / H75.8