@WeatherOnly2
#44,719790x6d82f7d183c7f0d44968b012a2fd9ce83d7b9e66
~21d· 63 markets · 772 tradesVol: $57,7392026-08-04 15:06:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (30/63)8.8/20
1.77x (win $2,907 / loss $1,644)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.83715/15
Sortino 11.02110/10
$+0.1971 per $1 invested9.9/10
HHI 312 (63 markets)10/10
11/21 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($473 / $1,403)7.3/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+2,435
DCA Master
Avg 12.3 entries/market
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#850$2,281Vol: $46,807
⚽ SPORTS#69,364$326Vol: $7,616
📢 MENTIONS#104,670$-3Vol: $194
🏛️ POLITICS#183,253$8Vol: $145
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,739
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
301B / 471S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
Periods
#2Month
$2
Vol: $1,901
All Time
$2,435
Vol: $57,739
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
30W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$2,435
Win Rate
48%
30W / 33L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-53
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,451 (0.5959656521935534% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 7?$782
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?$385
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?$284
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$202
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 20?$201
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 17?$136
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?$103
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 17?$95
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?$90
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$63
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 11?$-258
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?$-252
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?$-225
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?$-152
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 21?$-92
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva$-72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?$-67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?$-59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?$-48
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.247
Sortino
0.561
HHI
395
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.197
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
33.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity18 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.25
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.6%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)65.4%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 3:02:10 PM6 trades$7943 min
6/18/2026, 10:27:31 AM22 trades$5334 min
7/7/2026, 3:58:20 AM12 trades$5030 min
7/9/2026, 12:12:53 PM3 trades$5000 min
6/26/2026, 4:24:38 PM5 trades$5000 min
7/7/2026, 6:25:52 AM7 trades$4610 min
6/19/2026, 1:38:46 PM5 trades$3370 min
7/11/2026, 11:29:34 AM2 trades$2970 min
6/18/2026, 11:45:04 AM1 trades$2780 min
6/20/2026, 8:21:07 AM4 trades$2670 min
6/20/2026, 9:02:35 AM19 trades$2648 min
6/19/2026, 2:51:17 PM18 trades$26311 min
6/19/2026, 9:35:44 AM3 trades$2620 min
7/13/2026, 9:26:55 AM21 trades$2573 min
6/20/2026, 3:30:58 PM28 trades$2391 min
6/30/2026, 8:56:32 AM2 trades$2010 min
7/11/2026, 9:03:38 AM5 trades$1980 min
7/8/2026, 4:58:29 PM11 trades$1932 min
6/16/2026, 4:20:49 AM10 trades$1790 min
6/18/2026, 9:17:55 AM6 trades$1761 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-19
06-24
07-01
07-09
07-13
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.6 / M13 / H65.4