Wheresmyumbrella

@Wheresmyumbrella

#2,733,59152

0x9620ec195fa46d35141150466d84a96dc7ad5052

~158d· 712 markets · 1675 tradesVol: $99,346 @0xSenseiTrading2026-08-05 16:38:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (365/691)11.4/20
1.14x (win $7,640 / loss $6,727)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.55110.3/15
Sortino 1.13010/10
$+0.0466 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 220 (691 markets)10/10
56/127 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($2,000 / $2,409)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#146,548$16Vol: $45,745
SPORTS#1,620,061$-61Vol: $20,811
CRYPTO#71,032$168Vol: $11,193
💰 FINANCE#630,088$-90Vol: $9,796
📈 ECONOMICS#656,456$-81Vol: $3,837
🌤️ WEATHER#183,706$-1Vol: $2,634
🎭 CULTURE#64,486$11Vol: $1,178

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-226
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$99,346
Total Redeem
$399
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
712
total markets
Trades
1123B / 552S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~158d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$20
Vol: $0
Month
$17
Vol: $0
All Time
$-226
Vol: $99,346

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
365W / 326L events
Realized PnL
$-226
Win Rate
53%
365W / 326L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,545 (15.71819431510798% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,018
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,088
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?$439
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$270
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$198
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$119
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$114
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10?$102
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$100
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$67

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,095
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-467
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-328
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-295
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$-255
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-160
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-120
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-120
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-114
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-111

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.029
Sortino
0.047
HHI
400
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
7.2%
Half-Kelly
3.6%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
36%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 414s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.8 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)47.7%

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 11:10:47 AM2 trades$1,2981 min
3/19/2026, 7:14:29 PM3 trades$1,2452 min
5/24/2026, 12:19:39 PM6 trades$1,0818 min
5/20/2026, 2:36:33 PM16 trades$9691 min
3/16/2026, 9:53:07 AM2 trades$9102 min
3/12/2026, 8:03:23 PM4 trades$7407 min
3/3/2026, 11:50:33 PM2 trades$6571 min
3/20/2026, 12:42:55 PM2 trades$6541 min
3/3/2026, 4:38:33 PM1 trades$6170 min
3/2/2026, 11:30:07 AM6 trades$6074 min
7/22/2026, 3:55:36 PM7 trades$5280 min
3/4/2026, 11:14:11 AM1 trades$5240 min
7/3/2026, 9:10:40 AM11 trades$5111 min
3/16/2026, 10:24:41 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/1/2026, 12:35:59 PM6 trades$4944 min
3/17/2026, 4:48:51 AM3 trades$4330 min
4/6/2026, 6:19:05 PM16 trades$41512 min
6/8/2026, 10:10:43 AM19 trades$3865 min
5/20/2026, 12:37:14 PM3 trades$3782 min
3/29/2026, 6:36:26 PM4 trades$3613 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-19
12-15
01-11
02-13
03-13
04-03
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M42.3 / H47.7