@Wierauder
#2,948,806230x1907381bd0954ac18f5d6be6c6d92d40da6dac1a
~87d· 939 markets · 4773 tradesVol: $295,2532026-08-04 17:19:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (410/938)6.9/20
0.68x (win $1,737 / loss $2,553)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5170/15
Sortino -4.5410/10
$-0.0206 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 124 (938 markets)10/10
46/82 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 109050% of peak ($960 / $1)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🌤️ WEATHER#297,995$-1,210Vol: $294,623
⚽ SPORTS#395,659$2Vol: $535
₿ CRYPTO#865,909$-1Vol: $50
🏛️ POLITICS#382,674$0Vol: $40
💰 FINANCE#101,146$2Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$295,253
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
939
total markets
Trades
3087B / 1686S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d
Periods
#2Today
$8
Vol: $181
Week
$-18
Vol: $4,662
Month
$-129
Vol: $5,636
All Time
$-1,206
Vol: $295,253
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
407W / 527L events
Realized PnL
$-1,206
Win Rate
44%
407W / 527L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $113 (0.09352899722256768% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?$44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 1?$34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?$34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 26?$33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?$23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?$22
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?$20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?$20
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?$-331
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?$-67
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 1?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$-50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 9?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 3?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 5?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 1?$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.235
Sortino
-0.184
HHI
142
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
12.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
35.9
Active
Markets / Day
7.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 4.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock36 trades/day — high frequency7.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)43.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)37.5%
Sessions
#127/11/2026, 7:31:20 AM23 trades$2,8316 min
7/9/2026, 3:20:22 PM10 trades$1,2176 min
7/10/2026, 2:01:01 AM16 trades$1,2027 min
7/13/2026, 8:09:17 AM7 trades$1,0290 min
7/13/2026, 1:58:13 PM6 trades$1,0290 min
7/12/2026, 4:25:02 PM2 trades$9990 min
7/10/2026, 1:07:07 AM2 trades$9530 min
7/10/2026, 1:36:46 AM2 trades$9530 min
7/10/2026, 7:10:16 AM3 trades$9530 min
7/9/2026, 8:00:11 PM2 trades$9350 min
7/13/2026, 5:04:55 PM3 trades$9210 min
4/3/2026, 12:00:45 AM43 trades$8974 min
7/7/2026, 7:24:47 AM6 trades$8820 min
7/9/2026, 12:27:43 PM2 trades$7960 min
7/8/2026, 12:59:56 AM15 trades$7765 min
7/9/2026, 12:21:41 PM8 trades$7180 min
7/13/2026, 4:57:25 PM8 trades$6980 min
7/14/2026, 12:11:19 AM2 trades$6980 min
7/8/2026, 7:06:23 AM2 trades$6792 min
7/7/2026, 10:01:20 AM7 trades$6716 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-30
05-15
06-16
06-30
07-18
08-01
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.6 / M18.9 / H37.5