@WinterTimeSadness

#2,093,54930

0xe0bbaaa04a5bf6da71f34939da7017bc7ad71918

~27d· 104 markets · 113 tradesVol: $105,0372026-08-05 00:10:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (92/103)20/20
0.80x (win $115 / loss $144)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9820/15
Sortino -2.2320/10
$-0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9440 (103 markets)0/10
20/25 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($68 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Whale
$53,595 invested
Consistent
20/25 profitable days
Win Streak
23 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,457,357$-47Vol: $102,566
CRYPTO#274,638$6Vol: $964
SPORTS#208,939$27Vol: $675
💰 FINANCE#123,450$1Vol: $319
📈 ECONOMICS#556,453$-4Vol: $286
🎭 CULTURE#139,564$1Vol: $154
🌤️ WEATHER#88,491$0Vol: $13
📢 MENTIONS#122,716$-7Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,037
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
107B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-21
Vol: $105,037

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
92W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-21
Win Rate
89%
92W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48 (2.334457831325301% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5$18
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)$16
Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5$14
Spread: Nets (-1.5)$14
Pelicans vs. Nets$13
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)$12
Hawks vs. Wizards$5
Bucks vs. Pistons$3
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?$2
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$1

Top Losers

Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-51
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5$-20
Warriors vs. Cavaliers$-20
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5$-17
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)$-13
Mungo vs. MINH$-10
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?$-7
Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.102
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
8950
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
88.6%
Half-Kelly
44.3%
Top-1 market
94.6%
Top-5 markets
95.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 6.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)94.4%

Sessions

#12
10/12/2024, 6:22:28 AM6 trades$50,7113 min
10/12/2024, 3:12:25 AM2 trades$50,7001 min
11/23/2025, 5:03:07 PM9 trades$4845 min
12/6/2025, 9:51:17 AM12 trades$2223 min
10/30/2025, 2:17:47 PM4 trades$1722 min
9/5/2025, 8:03:34 PM1 trades$1670 min
5/27/2026, 8:48:12 PM2 trades$1280 min
3/21/2025, 9:17:53 PM2 trades$1141 min
8/3/2025, 9:57:46 PM1 trades$1080 min
8/22/2025, 9:26:30 PM1 trades$1080 min
6/12/2025, 3:19:51 PM1 trades$1070 min
4/8/2025, 10:00:35 PM1 trades$1070 min
6/22/2026, 9:34:47 PM2 trades$1050 min
2/28/2026, 11:06:03 AM4 trades$1053 min
4/23/2026, 10:15:50 PM2 trades$1050 min
3/18/2026, 9:32:15 PM1 trades$1040 min
5/4/2025, 6:02:15 PM1 trades$1030 min
7/11/2025, 6:51:30 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/11/2025, 6:58:36 PM1 trades$990 min
11/8/2024, 8:51:07 AM5 trades$982 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
11-19
02-11
06-12
11-23
02-28
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M5.6 / H94.4