WizardHazardLizardHarvard

@WizardHa…vard

#1,919,55730

0xc278e15617d2f64b0cba07147d3c676b23bb3144

~101d· 462 markets · 1991 tradesVol: $64,2832026-08-03 21:35:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (255/461)12.7/20
0.76x (win $5,292 / loss $6,926)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4350/15
Sortino -2.6130/10
$-0.0928 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 77 (461 markets)10/10
51/87 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 331% of peak ($2,546 / $769)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#64,496$379Vol: $31,941
CRYPTO#1,515,500$-159Vol: $9,279
🎭 CULTURE#776,879$-88Vol: $7,682
🏛️ POLITICS#62,539$105Vol: $6,067
🌤️ WEATHER#282,811$-73Vol: $4,022
📢 MENTIONS#111,649$-5Vol: $1,314
💰 FINANCE#51,640$12Vol: $1,069
📈 ECONOMICS#30,416$18Vol: $363

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,283
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
462
total markets
Trades
775B / 1216S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d

Periods

#2
Today
$24
Vol: $218
Week
$24
Vol: $1,105
Month
$91
Vol: $1,493
All Time
$-13
Vol: $64,283

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
255W / 206L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
55%
255W / 206L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $719 (56.35501567398119% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$293
Knicks vs. Spurs$262
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$164
Knicks vs. 76ers$151
Knicks vs. Spurs$142
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$135
Knicks vs. 76ers$102
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$100
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)$90
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$86

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-641
Spurs vs. Knicks$-400
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-399
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-333
New York Yankees vs. Athletics$-316
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$-298
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-193
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-174
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-120
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-110

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.127
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 822s — normal for humanCV 1.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active3.3 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)78.1%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 5:07:50 PM4 trades$1,6571 min
6/19/2026, 12:14:07 PM47 trades$1,07611 min
6/9/2026, 8:45:42 AM6 trades$5000 min
6/1/2026, 3:16:52 PM6 trades$4942 min
5/28/2026, 10:35:41 AM13 trades$4593 min
5/19/2026, 5:50:41 AM11 trades$4563 min
5/14/2026, 4:03:27 AM8 trades$4384 min
5/17/2026, 9:38:21 AM18 trades$3983 min
6/20/2026, 7:26:56 AM71 trades$37738 min
5/19/2026, 12:33:22 PM9 trades$3434 min
5/30/2026, 7:00:41 PM2 trades$3380 min
5/10/2026, 3:05:18 AM4 trades$3213 min
5/1/2026, 5:47:02 AM4 trades$3025 min
6/1/2026, 12:16:47 PM7 trades$2890 min
5/31/2026, 10:24:59 AM4 trades$2804 min
5/13/2026, 10:07:49 PM10 trades$2759 min
6/7/2026, 11:40:25 PM2 trades$2730 min
6/2/2026, 1:12:02 AM4 trades$2520 min
6/7/2026, 3:09:30 AM2 trades$2500 min
6/6/2026, 12:02:22 AM4 trades$2471 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
05-06
05-23
06-09
06-23
07-11
08-01
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M14.6 / H78.1