@Xiao777
#2,542,807400x5040e7dec27a46479cdf32a710405b59eb13dde5
~212d· 458 markets · 810 tradesVol: $175,7562026-08-04 20:45:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
90% (410/457)20/20
0.72x (win $439 / loss $612)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7520/15
Sortino -0.7640/10
$-0.0016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 41 (457 markets)10/10
179/208 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 390% of peak ($428 / $110)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 90%
Whale
$109,727 invested
Consistent
179/208 profitable days
Win Streak
48 wins in a row
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#1,496,283$-124Vol: $158,355
🌤️ WEATHER#11,652$39Vol: $17,091
🏛️ POLITICS#1,324,079$-14Vol: $311
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$175,756
Total Redeem
$19,528
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
458
total markets
Trades
512B / 298S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~212d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $230
Week
$0
Vol: $964
Month
$2
Vol: $964
All Time
$-99
Vol: $175,756
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
90%
410W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-99
Win Rate
90%
410W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-34
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (0.47275851612251085% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?$26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 25?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$7
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on March 26?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 28?$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 28?$5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on March 27?$5
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-268
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?$-124
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?$-55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 9?$-48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 27?$-35
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-13
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?$-5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 16?$-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 26?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.039
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9412s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)99.4%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 5:54:06 AM2 trades$1,6640 min
6/2/2026, 6:30:01 AM2 trades$1,6420 min
5/18/2026, 8:10:17 AM2 trades$1,6080 min
5/16/2026, 11:29:14 PM2 trades$1,6040 min
5/16/2026, 12:35:26 AM2 trades$1,6020 min
5/11/2026, 11:09:53 PM2 trades$1,5900 min
5/4/2026, 12:02:14 PM2 trades$1,5660 min
5/4/2026, 12:33:34 PM4 trades$1,5640 min
5/10/2026, 12:12:37 AM7 trades$1,4801 min
6/4/2026, 11:53:25 PM3 trades$1,3710 min
6/6/2026, 12:23:18 AM10 trades$1,2780 min
5/2/2026, 12:03:10 AM2 trades$1,1800 min
5/4/2026, 12:48:26 PM4 trades$1,0910 min
5/6/2026, 11:09:54 PM3 trades$1,0370 min
5/13/2026, 11:14:40 PM2 trades$9220 min
5/29/2026, 5:35:03 AM2 trades$9140 min
12/24/2025, 10:21:35 AM5 trades$8612 min
1/5/2026, 1:14:41 PM2 trades$8380 min
2/22/2026, 3:05:36 PM4 trades$8342 min
6/5/2026, 10:00:04 AM5 trades$8230 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
11-24
12-31
02-09
03-17
05-12
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.6 / H99.4