@Xiaojiucai886

#2,907,23829

0x3e432e9b881c149afb5599e8e7a466db3280a50e

~98d· 167 markets · 321 tradesVol: $16,4482026-08-05 03:16:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (80/152)11.3/20
0.53x (win $773 / loss $1,447)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0230/15
Sortino -2.0510/10
$-0.1432 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 440 (152 markets)10/10
40/67 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 1610% of peak ($875 / $54)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,508,220$-143Vol: $7,214
📈 ECONOMICS#677,409$-669Vol: $6,674
🏛️ POLITICS#1,243,626$-9Vol: $2,169
💰 FINANCE#70,134$6Vol: $215
🎭 CULTURE#737,196$-26Vol: $108
💻 TECH#38,063$2Vol: $44
⚽ SPORTS#340,693$5Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-834
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,448
Total Redeem
$219
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
167
total markets
Trades
244B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-834
Vol: $16,448

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
80W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$-834
Win Rate
53%
80W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $229 (0.2743821275677231% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$96
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$66
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$36
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$35
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$21

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-750
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-117
Will May be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$-45
Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$-44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-40
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$-30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$-30
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$-30
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
499
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.141
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
39.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.05
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.3%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 11:58:10 PM30 trades$5058 min
1/8/2026, 10:17:25 AM2 trades$4600 min
11/22/2025, 6:49:01 AM2 trades$3222 min
4/13/2026, 10:39:51 AM6 trades$2970 min
7/3/2026, 4:24:17 PM5 trades$2790 min
5/4/2026, 4:32:34 PM6 trades$2671 min
4/2/2026, 10:47:41 PM8 trades$2551 min
1/30/2026, 12:40:32 PM2 trades$2483 min
4/7/2026, 12:50:03 AM5 trades$2462 min
4/17/2026, 6:12:08 PM3 trades$2230 min
10/10/2025, 12:57:44 PM7 trades$2217 min
1/30/2026, 1:50:02 AM1 trades$2080 min
7/3/2026, 4:17:58 PM6 trades$1951 min
2/20/2026, 5:28:56 AM6 trades$1849 min
6/1/2026, 8:05:03 AM10 trades$1831 min
2/20/2026, 6:27:06 PM8 trades$17410 min
10/25/2025, 3:05:27 PM2 trades$1101 min
12/14/2025, 2:13:25 PM3 trades$1101 min
2/28/2026, 3:37:51 PM4 trades$1042 min
11/16/2025, 6:50:37 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
11-10
11-29
01-16
02-28
03-28
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.3 / M24.2 / H45.5