@Zeblon

#327,13469

0x24d10c17d9194aae74a84bf8871c5ee9094546aa

~38d· 57 markets · 133 tradesVol: $49,286 @ANNpikCPasbzPTd2026-08-04 21:13:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (31/50)16/20
1.95x (win $446 / loss $228)14.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.13715/15
Sortino 6.14410/10
$+0.0190 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1810 (50 markets)3.5/10
17/30 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($126 / $217)2.4/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+45
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#129,322$22Vol: $25,859
SPORTS#1,189,482$-4Vol: $18,320
📈 ECONOMICS#500,662$-1Vol: $3,337
💰 FINANCE#38,115$23Vol: $1,120
CRYPTO#313,920$4Vol: $498
🎭 CULTURE#162,639$1Vol: $138
🌤️ WEATHER#44,185$2Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$49,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
67B / 66S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$45
Vol: $49,286

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
31W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$45
Win Rate
62%
31W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.95x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $355 (7.896268325188803% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$167
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$157
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$32
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$8
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$8
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$7
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$6
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-122
US government shutdown Saturday?$-55
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$-18
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-9
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-8
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-4
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$-2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.162
Sortino
0.211
HHI
2037
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
56.4%
Half-Kelly
28.2%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
94.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
47.5m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)91%

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 1:48:33 PM3 trades$3,2092 min
2/4/2026, 12:52:20 PM3 trades$3,0772 min
1/29/2026, 6:42:52 AM3 trades$1,6531 min
2/10/2026, 3:10:49 AM1 trades$1,6080 min
2/2/2026, 10:16:02 AM3 trades$1,5892 min
2/12/2026, 9:20:25 AM3 trades$1,5861 min
2/15/2026, 3:02:09 AM1 trades$1,5640 min
1/29/2026, 11:44:42 PM1 trades$1,4600 min
1/31/2026, 12:50:26 PM1 trades$1,4100 min
6/21/2026, 2:10:08 AM21 trades$4953 min
4/27/2026, 8:46:20 AM8 trades$2941 min
5/7/2026, 1:22:00 PM9 trades$2521 min
4/15/2026, 7:35:12 AM7 trades$2252 min
5/20/2026, 10:02:14 AM8 trades$2180 min
12/17/2025, 12:03:38 PM3 trades$1310 min
12/3/2025, 6:52:03 AM3 trades$1301 min
11/22/2025, 6:34:59 AM3 trades$1050 min
2/12/2026, 9:32:01 AM1 trades$880 min
12/6/2025, 9:50:25 AM2 trades$790 min
12/11/2025, 7:20:15 AM2 trades$790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
12-11
01-10
02-07
03-03
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.5 / M1.5 / H91