@Zer555Optimist

#2,583,56540

0x618cfa2ec972ec2eac9f637a289dd491157b82c8

~41d· 135 markets · 289 tradesVol: $3,1022026-08-06 15:53:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (78/91)20/20
0.34x (win $67 / loss $197)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7640/15
Sortino -2.7660/10
$-0.0743 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 297 (91 markets)10/10
23/30 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 605% of peak ($164 / $27)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
23/30 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,309,344$-12Vol: $1,261
₿ CRYPTO#1,495,439$-120Vol: $931
💰 FINANCE#41,338$20Vol: $487
🎭 CULTURE#127,877$2Vol: $176
📈 ECONOMICS#532,899$-2Vol: $77
📢 MENTIONS#30,451$3Vol: $69
💻 TECH#41,137$1Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,102
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
166B / 123S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-109
Vol: $3,102

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
78W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-109
Win Rate
86%
78W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31 (0.2884791781324528% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$7
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?$5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$2
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$2
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?$1
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$-164
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-8
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-8
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-7
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-5
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$-2
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$-2
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.142
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
292
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
31.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1494s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)95.8%

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 10:00:53 PM1 trades$1430 min
3/27/2026, 9:14:47 AM1 trades$1360 min
3/29/2026, 3:29:00 AM1 trades$1090 min
6/15/2026, 8:40:13 AM1 trades$740 min
3/29/2026, 9:16:04 AM1 trades$550 min
3/27/2026, 5:00:29 AM1 trades$470 min
3/27/2026, 4:44:13 AM6 trades$438 min
3/27/2026, 4:24:33 AM5 trades$404 min
4/2/2026, 6:47:11 AM2 trades$362 min
2/28/2026, 6:11:23 AM4 trades$344 min
4/2/2026, 5:53:19 AM8 trades$314 min
3/22/2026, 8:36:53 AM1 trades$290 min
3/27/2026, 3:54:03 AM3 trades$253 min
3/23/2026, 11:06:31 AM1 trades$250 min
2/27/2026, 11:00:23 PM3 trades$243 min
2/26/2026, 7:59:08 AM3 trades$205 min
3/14/2026, 2:20:37 AM1 trades$170 min
5/7/2026, 5:07:27 PM1 trades$170 min
2/26/2026, 11:07:38 AM2 trades$173 min
2/25/2026, 5:01:42 AM2 trades$163 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-01
03-11
03-19
03-25
03-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M2.4 / H95.8