@adrian40

#1,923,1396

0x165c4a25f6a81865b2fd60c372cef69aa79f0870

~34d· 60 markets · 116 tradesVol: $12,8822026-08-05 02:45:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (18/60)0/20
0.08x (win $1 / loss $14)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2320/15
Sortino -6.7990/10
$-0.0021 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2016 (60 markets)2.4/10
15/34 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($13 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,396,074$-13Vol: $12,740
₿ CRYPTO#515,628$0Vol: $105
💰 FINANCE#267,697$0Vol: $29
🏛️ POLITICS#519,446$0Vol: $4
🎭 CULTURE#333,329$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,882
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
73B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-13
Vol: $12,882

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
18W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
30%
18W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.059006211180124224% of PnL)

Top Winners

Nuggets vs. Suns$0
Avalanche vs. Utah$0
Pistons vs. Suns$0
Solana above $120 on April 18?$0
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?$0
Will Google dip to $215 in March?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in June?$0
Will XRP reach $2.20 in July?$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$0
Will XRP reach $4.00 in November?$0

Top Losers

Browns vs. Bengals$-4
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid?$-1
South Florida vs. San José State$-1
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Knicks vs. Wizards$-1
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.373
Sortino
-0.264
HHI
1974
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
8.8%
Half-Kelly
4.4%
Top-1 market
31.2%
Top-5 markets
94.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1734s — normal for humanCV 3.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.93
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)31.5%
High (>55c)64.4%

Sessions

#12
3/10/2025, 3:14:53 PM1 trades$1,0070 min
3/10/2025, 4:07:23 PM1 trades$1,0060 min
3/10/2025, 1:52:47 PM1 trades$9960 min
3/10/2025, 2:10:47 PM1 trades$9950 min
3/10/2025, 10:39:03 AM1 trades$9800 min
3/10/2025, 11:38:35 AM1 trades$9790 min
3/10/2025, 4:20:57 PM1 trades$9780 min
3/11/2025, 2:45:20 AM1 trades$9770 min
3/10/2025, 8:46:39 AM1 trades$9700 min
3/10/2025, 10:00:45 AM1 trades$9690 min
3/10/2025, 12:12:53 PM1 trades$9680 min
3/10/2025, 1:01:03 PM1 trades$9670 min
12/22/2024, 3:06:24 AM4 trades$441 min
12/23/2024, 6:41:16 PM4 trades$392 min
12/23/2024, 6:41:06 AM2 trades$392 min
12/24/2024, 12:16:12 PM2 trades$382 min
12/22/2024, 12:53:02 PM3 trades$324 min
12/24/2024, 9:33:44 AM2 trades$315 min
12/26/2024, 1:45:40 AM2 trades$190 min
12/21/2024, 11:21:46 AM4 trades$191 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
12-24
01-10
02-27
03-25
06-27
03-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M31.5 / H64.4