aenews-hive

@aenews-hive

#89,71917

0x4490439a530cbce25b97634e9e6570e1686654d7

~13d· 15 markets · 168 tradesVol: $30,7372026-08-05 17:27:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (7/14)10/20
0.10x (win $375 / loss $3,679)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.2670/15
Sortino -7.6160/10
$-0.5755 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1911 (14 markets)2.9/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,461 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+833
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#4,798$1,098Vol: $22,259
SPORTS#1,764,240$-282Vol: $4,530
🏛️ POLITICS#140,522$17Vol: $3,948

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$833
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,737
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
69B / 99S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
7W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$833
Win Rate
50%
7W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-526

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $347 (0.41654366322257025% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$149
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?$145
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?$54
Luca Zidane: 4+ saves$15
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$10
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?$3
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$0

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,928
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?$-1,584
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$-138
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-12
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?$-9
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-5
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.413
Sortino
-0.336
HHI
1638
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.581
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.6%
Top-5 markets
80.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1033s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)82.6%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 9:57:11 AM31 trades$2,2250 min
6/20/2026, 3:14:25 PM2 trades$8010 min
6/26/2026, 3:01:13 AM16 trades$5752 min
7/7/2026, 9:07:14 AM1 trades$5470 min
7/10/2026, 10:01:55 PM2 trades$5340 min
6/22/2026, 11:26:19 PM12 trades$5030 min
7/6/2026, 11:13:07 PM2 trades$4150 min
7/6/2026, 9:37:08 PM2 trades$3260 min
7/10/2026, 11:44:49 PM1 trades$2850 min
6/22/2026, 11:44:46 PM6 trades$2781 min
7/11/2026, 4:12:07 AM6 trades$2750 min
7/11/2026, 10:22:40 AM1 trades$2450 min
6/26/2026, 7:19:59 PM4 trades$2300 min
7/7/2026, 12:36:10 AM4 trades$2241 min
7/8/2026, 3:12:38 AM5 trades$2051 min
6/23/2026, 8:32:47 PM2 trades$2012 min
6/27/2026, 3:25:31 PM1 trades$1460 min
7/7/2026, 12:14:37 AM1 trades$1280 min
6/26/2026, 3:32:22 AM4 trades$1260 min
7/8/2026, 3:42:04 AM9 trades$1035 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-26
06-27
07-04
07-07
07-08
07-10
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.1 / M7.2 / H82.6