@agatebit
#3,046,924370x54d39c6656ca278c5f8a517f2a6a665984294d37
~12d· 62 markets · 325 tradesVol: $143,5902026-08-05 00:40:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (35/62)13.2/20
1.01x (win $16,726 / loss $16,592)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1252.3/15
Sortino 0.1601.6/10
$+0.0031 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 350 (62 markets)10/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($3,400 / $3,533)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market
High Roller
$2,706/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,873,259$-5,695Vol: $143,590
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,695
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,590
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
106B / 219S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
35W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-5,695
Win Rate
56%
35W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$478
Avg Loss
$-691
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,681 (0.6462859169669258% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,442
Spread: France (-2.5)$1,326
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$913
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$905
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$878
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5$800
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5$776
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$738
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$626
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5$609
Top Losers
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-3,400
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-1,145
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score$-1,031
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5$-1,000
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5$-926
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$-852
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5$-800
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$-800
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-800
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$-800
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.006
Sortino
0.008
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
34%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 609s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule20 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)66%
Sessions
#126/27/2026, 10:10:44 PM8 trades$4,8272 min
6/27/2026, 10:59:26 PM4 trades$4,4450 min
6/21/2026, 6:06:35 PM8 trades$4,3052 min
6/22/2026, 7:50:40 PM17 trades$4,1943 min
7/1/2026, 9:12:46 PM2 trades$3,5390 min
7/1/2026, 8:07:23 PM2 trades$3,4690 min
6/20/2026, 10:09:47 PM4 trades$3,2991 min
6/20/2026, 7:13:38 PM10 trades$3,1737 min
6/26/2026, 8:19:11 PM10 trades$2,5412 min
6/23/2026, 8:54:23 PM6 trades$2,3674 min
6/24/2026, 7:50:11 PM4 trades$2,3452 min
6/23/2026, 6:49:08 PM8 trades$2,3022 min
6/22/2026, 6:47:41 PM21 trades$2,2597 min
6/30/2026, 2:12:17 AM2 trades$2,1300 min
6/21/2026, 3:28:16 PM7 trades$1,8313 min
6/26/2026, 7:40:52 PM10 trades$1,6630 min
6/30/2026, 2:22:26 AM2 trades$1,6550 min
6/24/2026, 8:25:29 PM6 trades$1,6450 min
6/24/2026, 8:03:52 PM12 trades$1,6285 min
6/27/2026, 9:31:22 PM4 trades$1,5120 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M31.1 / H66